How Internal Combustion Engines Will Die Out in Eurasia

By 2025, based on the bans announced so far, ICEs will be on their way out in Austria, Japan, Norway, South Korea, Spain and Portugal.

Five years later, by 2030, bans should have also come into effect in Denmark, Germany, India, Ireland, Israel and the Netherlands, although there is some uncertainty if the Indian target, in particular, will be achieved.

And by 2040, China, France, Taiwan and the U.K. should have joined the list. Scotland is set to impose a ban from 2032, ahead of the rest of the U.K.

Although the overall number of countries with bans announced is still small, the size of nations such as China and India means that by 2040, around 3.3 billion people, or roughly 43 percent of the world’s population, will no longer have access to new ICE vehicles.

This assumes current objectives remain in place. While it is likely that many countries may end up failing to meet their targets, there is increasing momentum to the ICE bans.

According to the CCP’s data, seven countries announced moves to phase out ICEs last year, including China and India. So far this year, another five have joined the list.

The CCP also notes that plenty of additional phaseout activity is happening at state or city level. It lists 25 cities worldwide, including Los Angeles, Mexico City and Seattle, where there are policies in place to limit ICEs.

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