Dự báo tình hình chính trị thế giới 2017

English: 2017 Annual Forecast

Những cú biến động chính trị cho đến năm 2017 là những biểu hiện chính trị của các lực lượng sâu hơn thế rất nhiều ở trong cuộc chơi này. Ở phần lớn các nước phát triển, xu hướng già hóa dân số và giảm năng suất được xếp lớp với sáng tạo công nghệ và sự dịch chuyển lao động đi kèm với nó. Suy thoái kinh tế của Trung Quốc đi với việc liên tục tiến hóa của những hợp phần kinh tế trong sự nền kinh tế biến động này. Đồng thời thế giới đang cố gắng đối phó với việc ngày càng giảm nhu cầu của Trung Quốc sau nhiều thập kỷ tăng trưởng kỷ lục, Trung Quốc cũng dần từng bước chậm nhưng chắc di chuyển nền kinh tế của mình thành chuỗi giá trị để sản xuất và lắp ráp mà rất nhiều các yếu tố đầu vào trước đây đã từng nhập khẩu, với mục đích tăng lượng bán hàng trong nước cho chính mình. Kết hợp tất cả các lực lượng này sẽ có một tác động mạnh và lâu dài đến nền kinh tế toàn cầu và cuối cùng để hình thành hệ thống quốc tế trong nhiều thập kỷ tới. Tiếp tục đọc “Dự báo tình hình chính trị thế giới 2017”

Trump praises Putin for holding back in U.S.-Russia spy dispute

By Richard Cowan and Polina Devitt | PALM BEACH, Fla./ MOSCOW

U.S. President-elect Donald Trump on Friday praised Russian President Vladimir Putin for refraining from retaliation in a dispute over spying and cyber attacks, in another sign that the Republican plans to patch up badly frayed relations with Moscow.

Putin earlier on Friday said he would not hit back for the U.S. expulsion of 35 suspected Russian spies by President Barack Obama, at least until Trump takes office on Jan. 20. Tiếp tục đọc “Trump praises Putin for holding back in U.S.-Russia spy dispute”

FBI, DHS release report on Russia hacking

The Hill

The FBI and the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) on Thursday released a joint report detailing how federal investigators linked the Russian government to hacks of Democratic Party organizations.

The document makes clear reference to the hacks of the Democratic National Committee (DNC) and Hillary Clinton campaign chairman John Podesta, though it does not mention either by name.

Tiếp tục đọc “FBI, DHS release report on Russia hacking”

White House announces retaliation against Russia: Sanctions, ejecting diplomats

The administration described Russia’s involvement as “Significant Malicious Cyber-Enabled Activities” and sanctioned four Russian individuals and five Russian entities for what it said was election interference. The administration also ordered 35 Russian diplomats to leave the country and two Russian compounds are being closed.
This is the first time the names of Russian officials involved in the hacking have become public on the sanctions list.

Tiếp tục đọc “White House announces retaliation against Russia: Sanctions, ejecting diplomats”

2017 Annual Forecast


Dear Reader,

Long-term trends tend to quietly build over decades and then noisily surface as the politics catch up. Such is the case for 2017.

Today we invite you to read our annual forecast, an in-depth look at how long-term trends will impact the world in the next 365 days. The annual forecast is a 20-year tradition at Stratfor, and at the heart of what we hope to give our readers: clarity and context into a world that often seems chaotic, incomprehensible or uncertain.



Head of Japan’s top ad firm to quit after new recruit’s death from overwork

President of Dentsu to step down a year after Matsuri Takahashi killed herself, sparking calls for Japan to overhaul work culture

Dentsu president Tadashi Ishii, centre, bows during press conference where he announced his resignation.
Dentsu president Tadashi Ishii, centre, bows during press conference where he announced his resignation. Photograph: The Asahi Shimbun via Getty Images

The head of Japan’s biggest advertising agency is to resign, as prosecutors launch an investigation into his firm for enforcing excessive overtime after an overworked employee took her own life.

Tadashi Ishii, the president of Dentsu, said he would step down next month, just over a year after Matsuri Takahashi killed herself at a company dormitory in a case Japanese authorities classified as karoshi, or death from overwork. Tiếp tục đọc “Head of Japan’s top ad firm to quit after new recruit’s death from overwork”

As China’s Largest Freshwater Lake Shrinks, Solution Faces Criticism

Hundreds of thousands of migratory birds, including the endangered Siberian crane, gathering for the winter at Poyang, China’s largest freshwater lake, in Jiangxi Province. Credit Visual China Group, via Getty Images

HONG KONG — Long celebrated as China’s largest freshwater lake, Poyang reaches more than three times the expanse of Los Angeles in the summer wet season. It is home to the rare Yangtze finless porpoise, and its mud flats are the primary winter feeding grounds for thousands of birds that fly south each autumn to escape Siberia’s chill, including the critically endangered Siberian crane.

Now it is Poyang itself that is at risk.

Continue reading on New York Times

New births bring hope for Mekong dolphins in Cambodia

Japan Times Dec 28, 2016

Conservation group WWF announced Tuesday that 10 new Irrawaddy dolphin calves were sighted this year in the section of Mekong River that runs through Cambodia, raising hope of saving the species from local extinction.

It said the birth of the calves — seven in Kratie province and three in Stung Treng province — are a “great encouragement and reward” of its decade-long collaborative efforts with Cambodia’s Fisheries Administration to protect the critically endangered species. Tiếp tục đọc “New births bring hope for Mekong dolphins in Cambodia”

North Korea plans nuclear push in 2017: Top defector

SEOUL: North Korean leader Kim Jong-Un is planning a “prime time” nuclear weapons push in 2017 to take advantage of leadership transitions in South Korea and the United States, a high-ranking defector said Tuesday (Dec 27).

In his first press conference since fleeing his post as North Korea’s deputy ambassador to Britain in August, Thae Yong-Ho said Kim had issued a directive at a rare ruling party congress in May to “complete” nuclear development by the end of next year. Tiếp tục đọc “North Korea plans nuclear push in 2017: Top defector”

Taiwan warns of increasing threat as Chinese warships conduct drill

The drill comes amid renewed tension over Taiwan, which Beijing claims as its own, following U.S. President-elect Donald Trump’s telephone call with the island’s president that upset Beijing.

“The threat of our enemies is growing day by day. We should always be maintaining our combat alertness,” Taiwan Defence Minister Feng Shih-kuan said on Tuesday. Tiếp tục đọc “Taiwan warns of increasing threat as Chinese warships conduct drill”

Chinese warships enter South China Sea near Taiwan in show of force

The Guardian


Beijing’s only aircraft carrier cruises past Taiwan’s Pratas Islands in an exercise state media said showed the country’s improving combat capabilities

China’s aircraft carrier Liaoning
China’s aircraft carrier Liaoning has navigated a passage through the South China Sea amid tensions with Taiwan. Photograph: Li Tang/AP


Monday 26 December 2016 20.03 EST

A group of Chinese warships led by the country’s sole aircraft carrier entered the South China Sea on Monday after passing south of Taiwan, the self-ruled island’s defence ministry said.

The ministry said the carrier, accompanied by five vessels, passed south-east of the Pratas Islands, which are controlled by Taiwan, heading south-west. The carrier group earlier passed 90 nautical miles (167km) south of Taiwan’s southernmost point via the Bashi channel, between Taiwan and the Philippines.
China live-fires aircraft carrier group amid Taiwan tensions with US

Read more

Ministry spokesman Chen Chung-chi declining to say whether fighter jets were scrambled or if submarines had been deployed but added: “Staying vigilant and flexible has always been the normal method of maintaining airspace security.”

Chen said the ministry was continuing to “monitor and grasp the situation”.

The move, which China called a routine exercise, comes amid renewed tension over Taiwan, which Beijing claims as its own, following US President-elect Donald Trump’s telephone call with the island’s president.

China’s Soviet-built Liaoning aircraft carrier has taken part in previous exercises, including some in the South China Sea, but China is years away from perfecting carrier operations similar to those the United States has practised for decades.

Johnny Chiang , a senior Taiwan opposition Nationalist lawmaker, said the Liaoning exercise was China’s signal to the US that it had broken through the “first island chain”, an area that includes Japan’s Ryukyu Islands and Taiwan.

The US state department on Monday said its position had not changed since July, when it said it was continuing to monitor China’s military modernisation and that it expected nations conducting defence exercises to comply with the law. Representatives for the Pentagon declined to comment.

Hope Hicks, a spokeswoman for Trump, said the incoming team had no comment on China’s move. Trump takes office on 20 January and has already made headlines over a series of statements on China and Taiwan.

In Beijing, Chinese foreign ministry spokeswoman Hua Chunying said people should not read too much into what the carrier was up to, because its movements were within the law.

“Our Liaoning should enjoy in accordance with the law freedom of navigation and overflight as set by international law, and we hope all sides can respect this right of China’s,” she told a daily news briefing.

Influential state-run Chinese tabloid the Global Times said the exercise showed how the carrier was improving its combat capabilities and that it should now sail even further afield. “The Chinese fleet will cruise to the eastern Pacific sooner or later. When China’s aircraft carrier fleet appears in offshore areas of the US one day, it will trigger intense thinking about maritime rules,” the newspaper’s editorial said.

China has been angered recently by US naval patrols near islands that China claims in the South China Sea. This month, a Chinese navy ship seized a US underwater drone in the South China Sea. China later returned it.

Japan said late on Sunday it had spotted six Chinese naval vessels including the Liaoning travelling through the passage between Miyako and Okinawa and into the Pacific. A Japanese government spokesman said on Monday the voyage showed China’s expanding military capability and Japan was closely monitoring it.

China’s air force conducted long-range drills this month above the East and South China Seas that rattled Japan and Taiwan. China said those exercises were also routine.

In December last year, the defence ministry confirmed China was building a second aircraft carrier but its launch date is unclear. The aircraft carrier programme is a state secret.

Beijing could build multiple aircraft carriers over the next 15 years, the Pentagon said in a report last year.

China claims most of the South China Sea through which about $5tn in ship-borne trade passes every year. Neighbours Brunei, Malaysia, the Philippines, Taiwan and Vietnam also have claims.

Ba cách Facebook có thể giảm tin tức giả mạo mà không cần kiểm duyệt

English: Three ways Facebook could reduce fake news without resorting to censorship

Công chúng nhận được rất nhiều tin tức và thông tin từ Facebook. Một số trong đó là tin giả mạo. Đó là một vấn đề cho người dùng trang web, và cho chính  công ty Facebook. Tiếp tục đọc “Ba cách Facebook có thể giảm tin tức giả mạo mà không cần kiểm duyệt”

Không bỏ lại ai phía sau: Quyền để phát triển

English: Leave No One Behind: The Right to Development

Tại Rome, ngày 5/12/2016 – Khi ngày nhân quyền đang đến gần mùng vào 10/12, đây là dịp để dừng và nhìn lại gốc rễ của sự phát triển của thế giới như là nền tảng của bước tiếp theo. Vào ngày này 30 năm trước, cộng đồng quốc tế đã thực hiện cam kết loại bỏ tất cả những rào cản đối với bình đẳng và sự phát triển bao gồm tất cả mọi người.

Ngày 4/12/1986 đánh dấu ngày Đại Hội đồng Liên Hợp Quốc chính thức thông qua bản tuyên ngôn về quyền phát triển, một văn bản mang tính bước ngoặt mô tả sự phát triển như quyền bất khả xâm phạm của con người.
Tiếp tục đọc “Không bỏ lại ai phía sau: Quyền để phát triển”