UPDATED: Imagery Suggests Philippine Fishermen Still Not Entering Scarborough Shoal

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Despite earlier reports, it appears that Filipino fishermen are still not fishing inside Scarborough Shoal. New imagery from October 29 showed a China Coast Guard (CCG) vessel anchored just inside the mouth of the lagoon, where it has been for most of the period since China seized the shoal in 2012, apparently blocking access. At least 17 Philippine fishing vessels were present along the exterior of Scarborough’s reef. This corroborates reports that Filipino fishermen fished “just outside Scarborough’s lagoon” over the last week. There were also two Chinese civilian ships in the vicinity. According to the Philippine Navy, three other CCG vessels continue to patrol near Scarborough. Tiếp tục đọc “UPDATED: Imagery Suggests Philippine Fishermen Still Not Entering Scarborough Shoal”

CSIS – China Tightens Grip on Scarborough Shoal Post-Ruling – AMTI Brief

China Tightens Grip on Scarborough Shoal Post-Ruling

Philippine president Rodrigo Duterte’s recent trip to Beijing yielded a number of agreements, including a vaguely-worded commitment to peacefully resolve the South China Sea disputes. But there was no public breakthrough on one closely-watched topic: the ability of Filipino fishermen to return to Scarborough Shoal. An international tribunal ruled on July 12 that China’s closure of the shoal to Philippine fishing was illegal. But in the lead-up to Duterte’s visit, Filipino fishermen complained that it was becoming more, not less, difficult for them to approach Scarborough. Recent satellite imagery supports this conclusion. Tiếp tục đọc “CSIS – China Tightens Grip on Scarborough Shoal Post-Ruling – AMTI Brief”

CSIS – Over the Line: Tracking Energy Competition in the East China Sea

Over the Line: Tracking Energy Competition in the East China Sea

Two related disputes between Japan and China in the East China Sea flared again in early August. Between August 5 and 9, more than 200 Chinese fishing ships entered the waters around the Senkaku Islands (called Diaoyu in China), accompanied by China Coast Guard vessels. That same weekend, the Japanese foreign ministry accused China of deploying a radar system on one of its oil platforms in the East China Sea. Japan sees those platforms as a violation of the spirit of a 2008 agreement on joint exploration of resources near the two countries’ disputed continental shelf. Tiếp tục đọc “CSIS – Over the Line: Tracking Energy Competition in the East China Sea”

csis – AMTI Brief, Aug. 24, 2016

Shifting Sands:
What Countries Are Taking Sides After the South China Sea Ruling?

On July 12, a tribunal at the Permanent Court of Arbitration in The Hague issued its long-awaited ruling on Manila’s case against Beijing’s claims in the South China Sea. How many countries recognize the decision as legally binding on both parties and call for it to be respected will determine its ultimate value, as international pressure is the court’s only enforcement mechanism. In recent months, AMTI scoured publicly available, official statements in an effort to determine the real positions taken by countries toward the ruling. It is enlightening to compare the level of global support expressed since the July 12 ruling to the positions of countries in the months leading up to the verdict. A full list of official statements, both pre- and post-ruling, is available at the bottom of this feature. Tiếp tục đọc “csis – AMTI Brief, Aug. 24, 2016”

CSIS – AMTI Brief – June 16, 2016

AMTI

New AMTI Feature:
Arbitration Support Tracker

A final ruling is expected soon from a tribunal at the Permanent Court of Arbitration in The Hague hearing Manila’s case against Beijing’s claims in the South China Sea. How many countries recognize the decision as legally binding on both parties and call for it to be respected will determine its ultimate value, as international pressure is the court’s only enforcement mechanism. In an effort to deflect that pressure, Chinese officials and state media have been trumpeting the number of countries that have voiced support for Beijing’s position that the tribunal lacks jurisdiction in the case and the ruling is therefore invalid. China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs claims that number has climbed to 60, but has not provided a list of the countries or, in most cases, evidence for their support. Tiếp tục đọc “CSIS – AMTI Brief – June 16, 2016”

CSIS Southeast Asia Sit-Rep – June 2, 2016

CSIS Southeast Asia SIT-REP

This issue includes a look at Indonesia’s economic stimulus packages, analyses on President Barack Obama’s recent visit to Vietnam and where U.S.-Vietnamese relations are headed, an explanation on how China has been building artificial islands in the South China Sea, and much more. Links will take you to the full publications, multimedia, or to registration for upcoming programs when available. To jump to a section, select one of the following:


Commentaries

Deep insight into developments that move the dial

With a Dozen Economic Reform Packages under His Belt, Indonesia’s Jokowi Settles in,” by Shannon Hayden (@ShannonKHayden ) Tiếp tục đọc “CSIS Southeast Asia Sit-Rep – June 2, 2016”

CSIS – AMTI Brief – May 13, 2016

Vietnam’s Island Building:
Double Standard or Drop in the Bucket?
China has sought to deflect criticism of its island building in the South China Sea by accusing other claimants, especially Vietnam, of doing the same. AMTI has examined each of the islets and reefs Vietnam occupies in the Spratly Islands and found evidence of reclamation at 10 of them. The images below suggest Vietnam has created just over 120 acres of new land in the South China Sea, mostly at Spratly Island, Southwest Cay, Sin Cowe Island, and West Reef. The majority of this work has occurred in the last two years. Tiếp tục đọc “CSIS – AMTI Brief – May 13, 2016”

CSIS – AMTI Brief – April 14, 2016

East China Sea Tensions: Approaching a Slow Boil

 

Mounting tensions over the disputed Senkaku Islands have been a constant in Sino-Japanese relations since Tokyo purchased three of the five islands in 2012. For the last four years, Chinese coast guard vessels have regularly patrolled in the vicinity of the East China Sea islands and have often entered within the 12-nautical-mile territorial sea around the Senkakus, engaging in a cat-and-mouse game with their Japanese counterparts tasked with maintaining Tokyo’s control over the features. Meanwhile, People’s Liberation Army Air Force (PLAAF) patrols around the Senkakus and Japan’s southern islands have led to regular scrambles by the Japanese Air Self Defense Force. Tiếp tục đọc “CSIS – AMTI Brief – April 14, 2016”

CSIS: AMTI Brief – Evaluating the Asia-Pacific Rebalance – Feb 4, 2016

AMTI Brief – Evaluating the Asia-Pacific Rebalance

Evaluating the Asia-Pacific Rebalance

The Center for Strategic and International Studies last month completed an independent review of the defense portion of the Obama administration’s rebalance to the Asia Pacific. This review, which includes an evaluation of the rebalance’s implementation and resourcing as well as recommendations for its improvement, was mandated by the U.S. Congress under the 2015 National Defense Authorization Act. Tiếp tục đọc “CSIS: AMTI Brief – Evaluating the Asia-Pacific Rebalance – Feb 4, 2016”