Đã đến lúc nâng cấp quan hệ Việt – Mỹ?

sputnik14:48 18.02.2022

Đại sứ Hoa Kỳ Marc Evans Knapper - Sputnik Việt Nam, 1920, 18.02.2022

© Ảnh : Thống Nhất – TTXVN

Quan hệ Việt – Mỹ rất đặc biệt. Đại sứ Hoa Kỳ tại Việt Nam Marc Evans Knapper cho biết, đây là thời điểm thích hợp để nâng cấp quan hệ Đối tác chiến lược Hà Nội – Washington.

Ông Marc Evans Knapper nhấn mạnh, Mỹ đánh giá cao vai trò và hợp tác với Việt Nam trong 5 trọng tâm chiến lược Ấn Độ Dương – Thái Bình Dương mới mà chính quyền Biden – Harris đã thông qua.

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2022 State of Southeast Asia Survey: Diverse Perspectives and Hard Realities

fulcrum.sg

PUBLISHED 16 FEB 2022

TERENCE CHONG

The US has gained ground against China in the contest for regional influence in Southeast Asia, according to the latest State of Southeast Asia Survey. ASEAN continues to be seen as ineffective in the eyes of respondents; at the same time, they are willing to give it credit when it is due.

The United States is gaining significant ground against China in the battle to win friends and influence countries, with respondents across Southeast Asia confident that Washington would be able to lead on issues such as championing free trade and upholding the rules-based regional order. 

A fresh reading of The State of Southeast Asia Survey also showed that pressing issues — the Covid-19 pandemic, unemployment and economic retraction as well as climate change – continue to be prioritised by respondents. In their view, however, ASEAN is seen as too slow and ineffective to cope with rapid developments.

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CLOSING THE GAP: US-European Cooperation on China and the Indo-Pacific

Glaser
Garima

byAndrew Small, Bonnie S. Glaser, Garima Mohan

Summary

The Biden administration took office with the intention of making partnership with Europe a central element of its China strategy. This paper assesses what has been achieved in the first year of these efforts, and what to expect in 2022. Despite some of points of contention, such as the disputes over the security pact between Australia, the United Kingdom, and the United States (AUKUS), European and US officials ended the year in a more optimistic place on the transatlantic China and Indo-Pacific agendas than they were at the start. Over the course of 2021, the two sides put in place new structures—from the EU-US Trade and Technology Council (TTC) to the Indo-Pacific high-level consultations—that have helped to get the right issues on the table and pushed their bureaucracies to deal with each other in ways that they had not before. Instead of a thin layer of periodic dialogues on China, there is an increasingly thick web of interactions, from working-level groups in different policy areas to leader-level exchanges. The EU and the United States also removed many of the obstacles to their joining forces more effectively on economic goals, particularly with the deal on steel and aluminum tariffs. Meanwhile, without raising excessively high expectations of a new coalition government that will not depart radically from its predecessor, the change in Berlin should also provide a stronger basis for cooperation on China than was present during the final phase of Chancellor Angela Merkel’s government.

All this needs to be translated into results this year. The gap between the EU and the United States is less in their analysis of China and more in the level of urgency with which they treat the challenge. Where the United States is in the process of making China the animating factor for its grand strategy, Europe is not, and the crisis with Russia will not make it likelier in the months ahead. Yet the actor that has done most to narrow the urgency gap between Europe and the United States has been China. Much as its escalatory sanctions in 2021 derailed its contentious Comprehensive Agreement on Investment with the EU, Beijing’s treatment of Lithuania is helping to expedite European plans to address economic coercion and supply-chain risks that might otherwise have taken years.

Economic coercion is one of several issues that are a priority for EU-US cooperation this year. The transatlantic agenda on China and the Indo-Pacific is a very expansive one and, although there is value to this breadth, the two sides will need to pick a few areas that merit an additional political push. While in an ideal world these would all be positive-sum efforts, such as aligning their infrastructure finance initiatives to compete more effectively with China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), Europe and the United States will unavoidably have to deal with the sharp edges of Chinese power too. In all these efforts, the transatlantic agenda is only one component of a wider framework of cooperation that also involves their major partners in the Indo-Pacific. From the Quad to the TTC, one of the key goals for this year will be for these allies to stitch their efforts together with a view to driving outcomes rather than creating even more complex consultation structures.

There are also long-running goals for the United States and Europe that transcend administrations. There were striking shifts between the Obama, Trump, and Biden administrations but there has been more underlying consistency in what both sides need from each other in dealing with the China challenge than in many other policy fields. Considerable long-term planning is possible regardless of the potential political oscillations in the years ahead.

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Trung Quốc thắng kiện Mỹ ở WTO, Mỹ ‘thất vọng sâu sắc, nên cải tổ WTO’

TTO – 28/01/2022 – 11:17

Ngày 26-1, Tổ chức Thương mại thế giới (WTO) cho phép Trung Quốc áp đặt mức thuế phạt 645 triệu USD với Mỹ.

Trung Quốc thắng kiện Mỹ ở WTO, Mỹ thất vọng sâu sắc, nên cải tổ WTO - Ảnh 1.
Trung Quốc thắng kiện Mỹ ở WTO – Ảnh: EXPORTSNEWS

Theo Hãng tin Reuters, đây là một chiến thắng mang tính biểu tượng khác của Bắc Kinh tại cơ quan thương mại có trụ sở tại Geneva. 

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CSIS: Nhiều tàu hút cát để xây cảng nước sâu tại căn cứ Ream của Campuchia

Thanh Niên – Đông A –  22/01/2022 – 15:07

Trung tâm Nghiên cứu Chiến lược và Quốc tế (CSIS) ở Mỹ ngày 21.1 cho biết nhiều tàu hút cát đã được phát hiện ngoài khơi căn cứ hải quân Ream của Campuchia.

CSIS: Nhiều tàu hút cát để xây cảng nước sâu tại căn cứ Ream của Campuchia - ảnh 1
Ảnh vệ tinh ngày 16.1 cho thấy tàu hút cát hoạt động ngoài khơi căn cứ Ream của CampuchiaCHỤP MÀN HÌNH TWITTER

Reuters dẫn lại báo cáo Trung tâm Nghiên cứu Chiến lược và Quốc tế (CSIS) tại Mỹ đưa ra ngày 21.1 cho biết các tàu hút cát đã xuất hiện gần căn cứ Ream trong những bức ảnh chính phủ Campuchia công bố tháng này và ảnh vệ tinh thương mại.

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Liberal Illusions Caused the Ukraine Crisis

The greatest tragedy about Russia’s potential invasion is how easily it could have been avoided.

foreignpolicy.com

By Stephen M. Walt, a columnist at Foreign Policy and the Robert and Renée Belfer professor of international relations at Harvard University.

Bill Clinton and Joe Biden  at a meeting of the U.S. Congressional delegation to the NATO summit in Spain on July 7, 1998.

JANUARY 19, 2022, 5:49 AM

The situation in Ukraine is bad and getting worse. Russia is poised to invade and demanding airtight guarantees that NATO will never, ever expand farther to the east. Negotiations do not appear to be succeeding, and the United States and its NATO allies are beginning to contemplate how they will make Russia pay should it press forward with an invasion. A real war is now a distinct possibility, which would have far-reaching consequences for everyone involved, especially Ukraine’s citizens.

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Tiểu đa phương ASEAN ở Biển Đông

TT – 17/01/2022 – 15:56

Cục diện cấu trúc an ninh ở Biển Đông dường như đã tiến triển sang một giai đoạn mới khi Indonesia, nơi đặt trụ sở của tổ chức ASEAN, quyết định thúc đẩy các hoạt động hợp tác an ninh hàng hải mang tính đa phương với các quốc gia trong khu vực.

Tiểu đa phương ASEAN ở Biển Đông - Ảnh 1.

Một tàu hải cảnh Trung Quốc được nhìn từ tàu hải quân Indonesia đang trong cuộc tuần tra ở khu vực Biển Bắc Natuna – Ảnh: REUTERS

Điều này cũng trùng hợp với căng thẳng gần đây giữa Indonesia với Trung Quốc ở khu vực ngoài khơi quần đảo Natuna thuộc chủ quyền Indonesia.

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Mỹ đi loạt bước rắn với TQ về Biển Đông ngay đầu 2022

PLO 14/01/2022 – 05:42

Mỹ đi loạt bước rắn với Trung Quốc về Biển Đông ngay đầu năm 2022 khi cùng lúc công bố báo cáo bác yêu sách chủ quyền của Bắc Kinh ở Biển Đông và điều hai nhóm tàu sân bay tới vùng biển này.

Mỹ đi loạt bước rắn với TQ về Biển Đông ngay đầu 2022 - ảnh 1
Báo cáo  “Limits in the Seas” (Giới hạn trên các vùng biển) của Mỹ.

Năm 2021 khép lại với sự kiện Tổng thống Mỹ Joe Biden ban hành Đạo luật Ủy quyền Quốc phòng (NDAA) vào ngày 27-12. Theo đó, Mỹ sẽ chi 770 tỉ USD cho chi tiêu quốc phòng, trong đó dành 7,1 tỉ USD cho chiến lược chống Trung Quốc ở khu vực Ấn Độ Dương – Thái Bình Dương.  Có lẽ đây là bước chuẩn bị cho một năm 2022 đầy căng thẳng giữa hai siêu cường ở khu vực Ấn Độ Dương – Thái Bình Dương, mà một trong những trọng tâm là ở Biển Đông.

Chưa đầy nửa tháng đầu của năm 2022, Mỹ đã có những động thái quyết liệt thách thức yêu sách chủ quyền phi pháp của Trung Quốc ở Biển Đông.

Tiếp tục đọc “Mỹ đi loạt bước rắn với TQ về Biển Đông ngay đầu 2022”

Đường đến Fulbright từ Mù Cang Chải

TTHành trình từ vùng cao Mù Cang Chải xa xôi đến FUV là cả một câu chuyện dài với nhiều cung bậc thăng trầm, đa dạng cảm xúc. 

Tủa cùng các bạn được cấp học bổng toàn phần (bao gồm học phí, nơi ở) cho năm học Đồng kiến tạo của ĐH này.

Tiếp tục đọc “Đường đến Fulbright từ Mù Cang Chải”

ASEAN and the new geopolitics of the Indo-Pacific

29 December 2021 Author: Amitav Acharya, American University

eastasiaforum.org

Southeast Asia is no stranger to strategic competition. But its ‘new geopolitics’ is different from those that existed during the Cold War.

China Premier Li Keqiang attends Southeast Asian leaders virtual summit Tuesday 26 October 2021 without Myanmar military leader Min Aung Hlaing after its top general failure of Myanmar's army to adhere to a peace road map it had agreed with the southeast Asian bloc following the coup in February.

In fighting communism, the United States extended its security umbrella to the region. This gave ASEAN members breathing space and allowed them to focus on economic growth and domestic stability. It also stimulated unity among Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand and the Philippines due to fear of being entangled in great power intervention. Aid and investment from Japan, a US ally and Asia’s then fastest rising economy, helped industrialise several Southeast Asian countries.

Now, China has displaced Japan as Asia’s largest economy and ASEAN’s largest trade partner. China’s GDP today is more than five times that of ASEAN’s combined. It spends five times more on defence. Unlike the Soviet Union, China is Southeast Asia’s immediate neighbour — a dragon breathing down its neck.

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Has Washington’s Policy Toward Taiwan Crossed the Rubicon?

December 10, 2021  by Paul Heer, The National Interest

Testimony from officials in the State Department and Defense Department this week included subtle but important shifts in the U.S. policy toward Taiwan

The ground shifted under Washington’s policy toward Taiwan on December 8, a shift no less seismic for being subtle and semantic. During a hearing of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, Assistant Secretary of Defense for Indo-Pacific Security Affairs Ely Ratner asserted that Taiwan is “a critical node within the first island chain (in the Western Pacific), anchoring a network of U.S. allies and partners … that is critical to the region’s security and critical to the defense of vital U.S. interests in the Indo-Pacific.”

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US Congressional Research Service: China’s Political System in Charts – A Snapshot Before the 20th Party Congress

Read and download full report >>

Introduction

The political system of the People’s Republic of China (PRC or China) defies easy categorization. China is both a nation state and a Leninist “Party-state,” with the Party being the Communist Party of China (CPC or Party), also known as the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).

The political system operates under two “constitutions,” one for the Party, China’s dominant political institution, and one for the state.1 State institutions operate fundamentally differently from their Western counterparts. In the case of China’s national parliament, for example, because China eschews separation of powers, a third of the delegates are sitting senior Party and state officials, with China’s top leader, CPC General Secretary Xi Jinping, among them.2

The parliament, like every other political institution in China, both reports to the Party and includes a Party cell within it. Atop the political system is a leader, Xi, who is not subject to direct or competitive indirect election, and who has signaled an intention to remain in power indefinitely.3

As strategic competition between the United States and China has grown more acute in recent years, Congress has shown a strong interest in understanding China’s political system. In the 116th Congress, Members introduced 99 bills referencing the CPC, six of which were enacted into law.4 More than 100 such bills are pending in the 117th Congress. This report seeks to provide Congress with a detailed understanding of China’s political system ahead of the CPC’s 20th
National Congress, which is scheduled to convene in the second half of 2022.

The report openswith a discussion of how the CPC exercises its self-anointed leadership role in China’s Partystate.

The report then briefly discusses the ways the CPC has embedded its claim to Taiwan within China’s political system.

The main part of the report introduces readers to China’s major political institutions through 16 organization charts and accompanying explanatory text.

All individuals’ names are listed in Chinese style, with family names preceding given names. CRS Visual Information Specialist Mari Y. Lee created all the charts in this report.

Note on Sources and Language
Much of the information in this report is drawn from PRC sources, including Chinese-language official websites and Chinese-language reports from China’s state-controlled media. Where English translations of these sources are known to exist, CRS has endeavored to identify them in the footnotes. Because of the difficulty of tracing Romanized personal names back to their original Chinese characters, and because the names of Chinese political bodies can often be translated into English in multiple ways, CRS has included Chinese characters in the charts in this report for reference.

1. Although in English the Party-state refers to both documents as “constitutions,” the Chinese-language terms are different. The Party document is a “ zhangcheng章程.” The state document is a “ xianfa 宪法.” The Party constitution is also sometimes referred to in English as the Party “charter.” “Constitution of the Communist Party of China,” Xinhua, October 24, 2017, at http://www.xinhuanet.com//english/download/Constitution_of_the_Communist_Party_of_China.pdf; “Constitution of the People’s Republic of China,” at http://www.npc.gov.cn/englishnpc/constitution2019/constitution.shtml.
2.
“领导干部比例降低!一图看懂第十三届全国人大代表构成” (“The Proportion of Leadership Cadres Has Fallen! See the Composition of the 13th NPC Delegates in One Chart”), 新京报(Beijing News) via Huanqiu, March 4, 2018, at https://lianghui.huanqiu.com/article/9CaKrnK6PUS.
3. Chris Buckley and Adam Wu, “Ending Term Limits for China’s Xi Is a Big Deal. Here’s Why,” New York Times, March 10, 2018.
4. The six laws from the 116th Congress referencing the CPC are the Let Everyone Get Involved in Opportunities for National Service Act (P.L. 116-35), the National Defense Authorization Act for FY2020 (P.L. 116-92), the Uyghur Human Rights Policy Act of 2020 (P.L. 116-145), the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act (P.L. 116-222), Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2021 (P.L. 116-260 ), and the William M. (Mac) Thornberry National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2021 (P.L. 116-283).

Read and download full report >>

India and Vietnam will define the future of Asia: Kurt Campbell

Japan to host next Quad summit in 2022, U.S. Indo-Pacific coordinator says

asia.nikkei.com

Kurt Campbell, the U.S. National Security Council Indo-Pacific coordinator speaks at the United States Institute of Peace on Nov. 19. (Screenshot)KEN MORIYASU, Nikkei Asia chief desk editorNovember 20, 2021 03:20 JST

NEW YORK — U.S. President Joe Biden’s administration views India and Vietnam as key countries to strengthen relations with, his Indo-Pacific point man said Friday.

India will be a key fulcrum player on the global stage in the 21st century, and successive American administrations have been united in that assessment, said Kurt Campbell, the National Security Council’s coordinator for the Indo-Pacific, at an event hosted by the Washington-based United States Institute of Peace.

“I’m very bullish about the future with India. I think we all recognize that the critical, crucial member in the Quad is India,” Campbell said, referring to the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue among the U.S., Japan, India and Australia.

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Vietnam Airlines direct flight to US takes off next week

VNE – By Anh Minh, Doan Loan   November 16, 2021 | 07:25 pm GMT+7

Vietnam Airlines direct flight to US takes off next weekA Boeing 787-9 aircraft of Vietnam Airlines. Photo courtesy of Vietnam AirlinesNational flag carrier Vietnam Airlines will operate its first regular direct flight to the U.S. on November 28, achieving a dream conceived nearly two decades ago.

The flight will depart from HCMC in the evening and arrive at San Francisco 13 hours and 50 minutes later, CEO Le Hong Ha said at a press briefing Tuesday.

The return flight will leave San Francisco on the evening of November 29 (U.S. time) and arrive in HCMC on December 1, 16 hours and 40 minutes later.

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