CSIS Southeast Asia Sit-Rep – Feb 25, 2016

CSIS Southeast Asia Sit-Rep

This issue includes a preview of key developments related to the South China Sea this year, analyses on the path forward for the peace process in southern Philippines and the recent U.S.-ASEAN Special Leaders’ Summit in Sunnylands, and much more. Links will take you to the full publications, multimedia, or to registration for upcoming programs when available. To jump to a section, select one of the following:

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Áp lực đè nặng AIIB về tính minh bạch trong các khoản tín dụng xanh

English:Pressure mounts on AIIB for greater clarity on green lending

Ngân hàng phát triển do Trung Quốc dẫn đầu cần phải cung cấp sự đảm bảo lớn hơn, Liu Qin cho biết. AIIB chính thức thành lập, các tổ chức xã hội dân sự vẫn trăn trở về việc thiếu các biện pháp bảo vệ liên quan tới điều kiện để đánh giá (khoản vay)

Ngân hàng Đầu tư cơ sở hạ tầng Á Châu (AIIB) được dẫn dắt bởi Trung Quốc chính thức thành lập vào ngày 16 tháng 1, nhưng nhiều nhà vận động môi trường muốn nhìn thấy sự minh bạch hơn từ tổ chức cho vay phát triển đa phương mới nhất của thế giới.

Chủ tịch ngân hàng, Jin Liqun, đã nói nhiều lần rằng AIIB rất nghiêm túc trong bảo vệ môi trường và hạn chế tác động của con người.gây ra bởi quá trình phát triển

Nhưng nhiều nhóm môi trường lo ngại rằng dự thảo tài liệu Khung đánh giá Xã hội và Môi trường của ngân hàng này, có sẵn trên trang web của ngân hàng, thiếu các cam kết chi tiết và chắc chắn đối với khoản cho vay bền vững. Họ kêu gọi các quy định về cho vay phải được làm rõ hơn và cải thiện hoạt động tư vấn với người dân địa phương.
Yu Xiaogang của tổ chức phi chính phủ Green Watershedcủa Trung Quốc nói với Chiandialogue: “Có một khoảng cách giữa những gì được mô tả bởi Jin Liqun và  nội dung của dự thảo đó.” Ví dụ, hiện nay không có yêu cầu bắt buộc thực hiện đánh giá tác động môi trường và xã hội trước khi dự án bắt đầu.
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Khởi động AIIB – Ngân hàng đầu tư cơ sở hạ tầng Châu Á: Những điều cần biết

English: New Asian Infrastructure and Investment Bank Breaks Ground: What You Need to Know

Ngân hàng đầu tư cơ sở hạ tầng Á Châu (AIIB) mới thành lập đã chính thức lễ khai trương tại Bắc Kinh vào ngày 16/01. Biên tập viên Alma Freeman ở Á Châu đã nói chuyện với giám đốc Chương trình hợp tác phát triển quốc tế của Quỹ Á Châu, Anthea Mulakala, để tìm hiểu điều gì khiến ngân hàng này khác biệt, những dấu hiệu cho tiếp cận phát triển, và làm thế nào ngân hàng này có thể giải quyết sự/vấn đề thiếu hụt cơ sở hạ tầng của Châu Á.

 AIIB là gì và khác biệt như thế nào đối với các ngân hàng đa phương như Ngân hàng Thế giới, Ngân hàng Phát triển Á Châu?

AIIB là một ngân hàng đa phương mới, khởi xướngđầu tiên bởi Trung Quốc trong năm 2013 và có trụ sở tại Bắc Kinh. Với 57 thành viên sáng lập, AIIB có vốn ban đầu là 50 tỷ USD và vốn điều lệ là 100 tỷ USD. Trung Quốc là cổ đông lớn nhất với khoảng 30%, tiếp theo là Ấn Độ, Nga, Đức, Hàn Quốc, Úc, Pháp, Indonesia, Brazil, và Vương quốc Anh. Mỹ và Nhật Bản vẫn chưa gia nhập AIIB. Tiếp tục đọc “Khởi động AIIB – Ngân hàng đầu tư cơ sở hạ tầng Châu Á: Những điều cần biết”

CSIS: Southeast Asia From Scott Circle – Feb 18, 2016: A Tumultuous 2016 In The South China Sea

A Tumultuous 2016 In The South China Sea

By Gregory Poling (@GregPoling), Fellow, Chair for Southeast Asia Studies (@SoutheastAsiaDC), CSIS

February 18, 2016

This promises to be a landmark year for the claimant countries and other interested parties in the South China Sea disputes. Developments that have been underway for several years, especially China’s island-building campaign in the Spratlys and Manila’s arbitration case against Beijing, will come to fruition. These and other developments will draw outside players, including the United States, Japan, Australia, and India, into greater involvement. Meanwhile a significant increase in Chinese forces and capabilities will lead to more frequent run-ins with its neighbors. Tiếp tục đọc “CSIS: Southeast Asia From Scott Circle – Feb 18, 2016: A Tumultuous 2016 In The South China Sea”

Requiem for a river: Can one of the world’s great waterways survive its development?

economist – GUO, the driver, pulls his car to a merciful halt high above a crevasse: time for a cigarette, and after seven hours of shuddering along narrow, twisting roads, time for his passengers to check that their fillings remain in place. Lighting up, he steps out of the car and dons a cloth cap and jacket: sunny, early-summer days are still brisk 3,500 metres above sea level. Mr Guo is an impish little dumpling of a man, bald, brown-toothed and jolly. He is also an anomaly: a Shanghainese in northern Yunnan who opted to stay with his local bride rather than return to his booming hometown.

The ribbon of brown water cutting swiftly through the gorge below is rich with snowmelt. With few cars passing, its echoing sound fills the air. In the distance, the Hengduan mountains slump under their snowpack as if crumpled beneath its weight. Mr Guo recalls the drivers who have taken a switchback too quickly and fallen to their deaths in the valley below. He tells of workers who lost their footing or whose harnesses failed while building a bridge near his home town of Cizhong, 20 or 30 kilometres south. He pulls hard on his cigarette. “This river”, he says, “has taken so many lives.”

Tiếp tục đọc “Requiem for a river: Can one of the world’s great waterways survive its development?”

CSIS: SOUTHEAST ASIA FROM SCOTT CIRCLE – FEB 4, 2016

Southeast Asia From Scott Circle – Feb 4: Leadership Changes And Upcoming Obama Visit Give U.S. New Opportunities In Laos
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Leadership Changes And Upcoming Obama Visit Give U.S. New Opportunities In Laos

By Murray Hiebert (@MurrayHiebert1), Senior Fellow and Deputy Director, Chair for Southeast Asia Studies (@SoutheastAsiaDC), CSIS

February 4, 2016

Leadership changes announced at a recently completed congress of the ruling Lao People’s Revolutionary Party and President Barack Obama’s planned visit to Vientiane in September, the first ever to Laos by a sitting U.S. president, give Washington an important opportunity to boost ties with this landlocked nation of less than 7 million people along China’s southern flank. Tiếp tục đọc “CSIS: SOUTHEAST ASIA FROM SCOTT CIRCLE – FEB 4, 2016”

Revving up the Rebalance to Asia

  • Photo courtesy of  sama093 from https://www.flickr.com/photos/sama093/16927401365/
    JAN 26, 2016

    The events of this month have reminded Americans that Asia is a region of both great opportunity and significant risk. In just the first two weeks of the year, North Korea conducted its fourth nuclear test, China began flying aircraft to airfields constructed on disputed features in the South China Sea, and Taiwan’s opposition candidate surged towards a victory in elections that will likely draw fire from Beijing. Tiếp tục đọc “Revving up the Rebalance to Asia”

CSIS SOUTHEAST ASIA SIT-REP – JAN 28, 2016

CSIS Southeast Asia Sit-Rep – Jan 28

A five-minuted read on our best updates and programsDisplaying

CSIS Southeast Asia SIT-REP

This issue brings you a preview of China’s relations with Southeast Asia in the year ahead, analysis of Australia’s increasingly vital role on global issues, a video overview of the U.S. rebalance to the Asia Pacific, assessments of the Philippines’ military modernization and Indonesia’s counterterrorism measures, and much more. Links will take you to the full publications, multimedia, or to registration for upcoming programs when available. To jump to a section, select one of the following: Tiếp tục đọc “CSIS SOUTHEAST ASIA SIT-REP – JAN 28, 2016”

CSIS: Southeast Asia from Scott Circle Jan. 21, 2016

Southeast Asia From Scott Circle – Jan 21: For China, A Race To Retain Appeal In Southeast Asia

For China, A Race To Retain Appeal In Southeast Asia

By Phuong Nguyen (@PNguyen_DC), Associate Fellow, Chair for Southeast Asia Studies (@SoutheastAsiaDC), CSIS

January 21, 2015

The landslide election in Taiwan of pro-independence opposition leader Tsai Ing-wen to be president has led to speculation of a possible recalibration in Chinese foreign policy, at least in the year ahead. Observers believe that stable cross-strait relations over the past eight years have allowed Beijing the bandwidth to explore greener pastures such as the once-dormant South China Sea dispute and expand its footprint across Southeast Asia. Tiếp tục đọc “CSIS: Southeast Asia from Scott Circle Jan. 21, 2016”

CSIS: AMTI Brief – January 15, 2016

Airstrips Near Completion

In early September 2015, AMTI released images showing that China had effectively completed construction of its first Spratly Islands airstrip on Fiery Cross Reef, was continuing work on its second at Subi Reef, and was preparing to begin work on a third at Mischief Reef. Four months later, China has not only landed three civilian test flights on Fiery Cross, but is progressing even faster than expected with its work at Subi and especially Mischief. Construction of the Fiery Cross airstrip took at least seven months from the start of grading, which was visible by February 2015. Tiếp tục đọc “CSIS: AMTI Brief – January 15, 2016”

CSIS Southeast Asia Sit-Rep – Jan 14, 2016

CSIS Southeast Asia Sit-Rep – Jan 14

A five-minute read on our best updates and programs

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CSIS SOUTHEAST ASIA SIT-REP

This issue brings you a preview of the Sunnylands summit between President Barack Obama and ASEAN heads of state in February, an explainer on the Jakarta terrorist attacks, analysis on the timing of the Philippines’ arbitration case against China, and much more. Links will take you to the full publications, multimedia, or to registration for upcoming programs when available. To jump to a section, select one of the following:


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5 reasons to be worried about health security in Asia

Published on Thursday, 17 December 2015

Pharmacy at a health clinic in Poipet, Cambodia.
Pharmacy at a health clinic in Poipet, Cambodia.

blogs.adb.org – If you live in Asia and the Pacific, do you ever wonder how high your risk is of contracting antimicrobial-resistant bacteria or emerging infectious diseases such as a new strain of avian influenza? Unfortunately, I have to tell you that the risk here is higher that in any other region in the world.

1. South and Southeast Asia are epicenters for antimicrobial resistance.

South and Southeast Asia are home to the highest number of major bacterial pathogens for which there is antimicrobial resistance. Most developing countries in the region do not monitor or reinforce standards in antibiotic use and prescription, and the limited available data paints a picture of widespread non-compliance with antibiotic treatment regimen. Self-medication with antibiotics available over-the-counter is common throughout Asia, and an estimated 50% of patients fail to follow the recommended antibiotics course of treatment, mainly because it’s expensive. Traces of antimicrobials used in the animal husbandry sector find their way into the food chain; so most of the meat that was not grown organically was likely treated with antibiotics. Even fish is often bathed in antibiotic solution in many commercial fisheries. And of course the water you drink might also be contaminated due to lack of adequate water treatment plants. Constant exposure to antibiotics increases the risk of developing antimicrobial resistance.

2. Asia is a hotspot for emerging infectious diseases.

Asia as where new emerging infectious diseases are most likely to originate, particularly zoonosis (diseases transmitted from animals), vector-borne diseases and drug-resistant pathogens. This is evident in the increasing frequency of these events over the last decade and is correlated directly with socio-economic, environmental and ecological factors. Numerous outbreaks of emerging infectious diseases have had a huge impact in Asia. SARS rapidly decimated tourism to the region in 2003, costing the industry $18 billion or approximately $2 million per person infected. The H5N1 virus had a profound effect on the poultry industry: in 2003-2004 Viet Nam culled 45 million birds and lost $118 million, while a Thai ban on poultry reduced the country’s income from poultry exports by 93%, from $598 million in 2003 to $44 million in 2004.

3. Health risks are increasing in Asia.

Asia is one of the most globalized, mobile regions in the world, and trade facilitates the rapid spread of diseases that otherwise may have been contained by geographical boundaries. Climate change and the associated rise in temperature and flooding lead to more vector-borne diseases such as chikungunya, malaria and dengue. Pollution and natural disasters are also significant risk factors for respiratory tract infections and water-borne diseases.

4. Fragmented supply chains impact the efficiency of drugs and vaccines.

Too much medicine that needs cold storage but is exposed to heat and humid environments can lead to an overestimation of actual effective vaccination coverage and decreased efficacy of medicines – both contributing to increasing risk of disease outbreaks. You might have seen this affect in your own children, who have been vaccinated in Asia but still developed certain diseases they were supposed to be protected against because the vaccine probably wasn’t effective anymore.

5. Unregulated health service providers.

Chronic under-investment in public health systems has resulted in private sector provision of health services, which are often unregulated (threatening quality) and not required to report routinely to health management information systems. A consequence of this data gap is that critical information on incidence of infectious diseases or drug resistance identified in the private sector takes much longer to reach public health sector officials.

The above risks can only be addressed with strengthened health systems and increased accountability, both of which arise from collaboration between countries and development partners to invest in public health services. To combat health threats and to avoid significant economic losses, we must step up health financing and redouble their efforts in cross-sector, cross-border and regional coordination on health policies and practices.

Investing in health systems today will yield not only direct health and economic benefits tomorrow, but will also help protect populations from emerging health threats both within and beyond the region. Donors outside of the region must continue to support health system strengthening in Asia, as weak health systems in any country can pose threats to their own public health and economic security.

Health is having the same disease as your neighbor – so make sure your neighbor has no diseases.

CSIS: Southeast Asia from Scott Circle – Jan 7, 2016

Sunnylands Summit Provides Opportunity To Bolster U.S.-Southeast Asia Ties

By Murray Hiebert (@MurrayHiebert1), Senior Fellow and Deputy Director, Chair for Southeast Asia Studies (@SoutheastAsiaDC), CSIS

January 7, 2015

President Barack Obama will host leaders from the 10 ASEAN countries for a summit at the lush Sunnylands retreat in southern California on February 15 and 16 in a gesture aimed at deepening U.S. ties to this dynamic region. The president raised the idea of the meeting with Southeast Asian leaders at the U.S.-ASEAN Summit in Kuala Lumpur in November 2015, during which he and his ASEAN counterparts announced the upgrading of U.S.-ASEAN relations to a strategic partnership. The leaders will look to flesh out the ASEAN-U.S. Plan of Action 2016–2020 that they endorsed at the summit in Kuala Lumpur. Tiếp tục đọc “CSIS: Southeast Asia from Scott Circle – Jan 7, 2016”

Reinvigorating agricultural productivity in the Lower Mekong

November 27, 2015 1:00 pm JST
Aladdin D. Rillo and Mercedita A. Sombilla

asia.nikkei.com – The green revolution has done wonders for Asia. Yields for most crops, particularly the region’s main staple of rice, have doubled over recent decades. In the Lower Mekong Delta, considered to be Asia’s rice bowl, the new technologies and crop strains that the green revolution brought were a big success.

Cambodian farmers load vegetables onto a cart for transport to market, at a farm in Kandal Province, south of Phnom Penh, on Oct. 16, which was World Food Day. © AP

Rice production in the Lower Mekong countries of Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar and Vietnam soared 68% between 1980 and 1995. During the same period, average yields more than doubled from their levels in the 1960s to about 3.5 tons per hectare. Total land area planted with rice also increased by around 25% to 16.3 million hectares between 1996 and 2005.

      By the end of 2013, however, the gains seemed to have leveled off. Between 2006 and 2013, average yield growth slowed to 22% across all of the Lower Mekong countries except Cambodia, as growth in rice production slid to 36%.

The slower trends in yield and production growth were not unique to the Lower Mekong. They also applied to the rest of Asia for various reasons. Chief among them is that green revolution technologies, particularly new rice seed varieties, had become exhausted. Poor land and water quality were also culprits in the drop-off, along with inadequate farm management practices and the rapid conversion of farmland to non-agricultural use. Eroding profit margins due to a decline in the price of rice on global markets exacted a heavy toll as well.

Low productivity

There is reason for alarm at the change. Agriculture still provides 10% of Asia’s value-added output and is an important source of employment as about 45% of jobs in Asia are in rural areas. With declining yields and production, this means that productivity, the value of output per worker, will decline further. Tiếp tục đọc “Reinvigorating agricultural productivity in the Lower Mekong”

What Africa can learn from Asian supply chains

Published on Tuesday, 15 December 2015

A woman sells coffee beans in Viet Nam.
A woman sells coffee beans in Viet Nam.

blogs.ADB.org – At this week’s 10th World Trade Organization (WTO) Ministerial Conference in Nairobi, Kenya, trade ministers are trying to advance 15 years of Doha Development Agenda talks to reduce trade barriers. The real issue, however, is whether African economies can follow East Asia’s success in global supply chains amid “new normal” growth and rising inequality.

Global supply chains refer to the geographical location of stages of production (design, production, marketing, and service activities) in a cost-effective manner and linked by trade in intermediate inputs and final goods. For instance, the Toyota Prius—a hybrid electric mid-size hatchback car—for the US market was designed in Japan and is presently assembled there, but some parts and components are made in Southeast Asia and the People’s Republic of China (PRC).
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