How would the Iran crisis play out in a world powered by renewables not fossil fuels?

theconversation.com

Imagine the escalating conflict between the US, Israel and Iran unfolding in a world powered mostly by wind, solar and batteries rather than oil and gas.

In today’s fossil-fuelled economy, markets react to Iran’s attacks on oil and gas facilities in the Gulf and the threat to close the strait of Hormuz. Oil prices jump. Governments brace for inflation. Around a fifth of the world’s traded oil passes through the narrow corridor, linking the Gulf states to the wider world. When tensions rise there, energy markets react instantly.

But in a world where most energy is generated domestically from renewables, would the same threat trigger the same global shock? Would instability in the Gulf still lead to more expensive food and fuel across the world? Or would the economic aftershocks look very different?

To understand what’s at stake, we need to first look at how today’s energy system is structured.

map of middle east
The strait of Hormuz is the narrow point between the Persian Gulf and the open ocean. AustralianCamera / shutterstock

A system built on chokepoints

For about a century, the global economy has depended on fossil fuels produced by a few producers in the Middle East. Chokepoints like the strait of Hormuz carry enormous strategic weight.

Tiếp tục đọc “How would the Iran crisis play out in a world powered by renewables not fossil fuels?”

What does China’s 15th ‘five-year plan’ mean for climate change?

carbonbrief.org

“Steady and pragmatic decarbonisation, rapid clean-energy expansion combined with cautious emission targets, continued coal use to protect energy security and industrial growth.”

China’s leadership has published a draft of its 15th five-year plan setting the strategic direction for the nation out to 2030, including support for clean energy and energy security.

The plan sets a target to cut China’s “carbon intensity” by 17% over the five years from 2026-30, but also changes the basis for calculating this key climate metric.

Tiếp tục đọc “What does China’s 15th ‘five-year plan’ mean for climate change?”

Findings from 18 years of a Global Study with Girls from Birth to Adulthood – Landmark study shows global gains for girls, but threats to progress loom

reliefweb.int 26 Feb 2026

Studied Countries: Vietnam, Benin, Brazil, Cambodia, the Dominican Republic, El Salvador, the Philippines, Togo, Uganda

Groundbreaking research from Plan International that has documented girls from birth for eighteen years reveals that globally, girls’ lives have improved significantly over the past two decades but identifies these gains are now at risk with the next wave of challenges approaching.

With improved access to education, girls are dreaming bigger and new laws protecting them from child marriage means they have broader choices in shaping their futures. But significant barriers – including widespread gender-based violence and the ever-worsening impacts of climate change – still stand in the way of equality.

Tiếp tục đọc “Findings from 18 years of a Global Study with Girls from Birth to Adulthood – Landmark study shows global gains for girls, but threats to progress loom”

Xây dựng chiến lược dài hạn phòng chống thiên tai và thảm hoạ – Kinh nghiệm từ Nhật Bản

nhandan.vn Chủ Nhật, ngày 08/02/2026

Năm 2025, được ghi nhận là một trong những năm đặc biệt, có diễn biến thiên tai cực đoan, đặt ra áp lực lớn đối với công tác chỉ đạo, điều hành. Tuy nhiên, nhờ cách làm mới, chuyển từ ứng phó sự vụ sang chiến lược dài hạn; lấy khoa học công nghệ, chuyển đổi số làm nền tảng, đã giúp giảm đáng kể tác hại do thiên tai gây ra.

Đập ngăn mặn, trữ ngọt trên sông Lèn, phục vụ sản xuất, đời sống nhân dân các địa phương phía đông bắc tỉnh Thanh Hóa. (Ảnh: MAI LUẬN)
Đập ngăn mặn, trữ ngọt trên sông Lèn, phục vụ sản xuất, đời sống nhân dân các địa phương phía đông bắc tỉnh Thanh Hóa. (Ảnh: MAI LUẬN)

Theo Cục trưởng Cục Quản lý đê điều và Phòng, chống thiên tai (Bộ Nông nghiệp và Môi trường) Phạm Đức Luận: Tại Việt Nam, trong năm 2025, thiên tai đã gây ra những con số thiệt hại lớn, với 468 người chết và mất tích, 741 người bị thương, thiệt hại kinh tế ước tính gần 98.700 tỷ đồng. Đó không chỉ là tổn thất về vật chất, mà còn là những hệ lụy lâu dài đối với đời sống và sinh kế của hàng triệu người dân. Trong năm, đã chứng kiến những cơn bão chồng bão, mưa lớn vượt ngưỡng kỷ lục, sạt lở đất kinh hoàng xảy ra ở nhiều vùng, miền… Trong bối cảnh đó, song song với ứng phó, công tác phòng ngừa và kiểm soát rủi ro thiên tai được đặc biệt chú trọng. Cục Quản lý đê điều và Phòng, chống thiên tai đã tham mưu hoàn thiện cơ chế chỉ đạo phòng, chống thiên tai, không để gián đoạn trong giai đoạn cả nước kiện toàn tổ chức vận hành theo mô hình chính quyền địa phương 2 cấp.

Tiếp tục đọc “Xây dựng chiến lược dài hạn phòng chống thiên tai và thảm hoạ – Kinh nghiệm từ Nhật Bản”

China and Russia challenge the Arctic order

But understanding how means looking beyond their partnership

DIIS.dk DIIS Policy Brief 9 July 2025

Sino-Russian Arctic cooperation is real but limited – and should not distract from the broader strategic challenges each country poses individually. While the partnership merits attention, some aspects are more symbolic than substantive, with Russia ultimately controlling the pace and direction.

Media narratives often highlight the growing alignment between China and Russia in the Arctic and the potential threat this poses to other states. Yet the partnership remains constrained by diverging priorities, Russia’s wariness of Chinese influence, and China’s reluctance to expose itself to sanctions or engage in risky ventures.

At the same time Russia’s increasing dependence on China since its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022 has given Beijing opportunities to pursue deeper access to the Russian Arctic on its own terms and in areas that align with its long-term objectives. Rather than engaging broadly, China is selective in how and where it invests or participates – a dynamic that could intensify underlying frictions between the two even as global geopolitical shifts continue to draw them closer in the region.

Tiếp tục đọc “China and Russia challenge the Arctic order”

Who owns the Arctic and Why the Arctic is climate change’s canary in the coal mine

Global warming is heating up the Arctic, and global powers like the United States, Russia and China are manoeuvring to stake a claim to the resources under its melting ice. Some experts say the region, once known as an exception – an island of international cooperation in the midst of geopolitical struggles – is becoming the site of a second cold war.

The Arctic may seem like a frozen and desolate environment where nothing ever changes. But the climate of this unique and remote region can be both an early indicator of the climate of the rest of the Earth and a driver for weather patterns across the globe. William Chapman explains why scientists often describe the Arctic as the “canary in the coal mine” when it comes to climate change

Who gets to have nuclear weapons and why?

Jul 30, 2025 #AJStartHere #CubanMissileCrisis #IsraelIranTensions
Israel and the US – both nuclear-armed states – recently attacked Iran. They said it was to prevent Iran getting a nuclear weapon, something Iran denies it’s trying to do.
What determines which countries can, and can’t, have nuclear weapons? And are we seeing a new nuclear race?

Chapters:
01:09 – How the Cuban Missile Crisis led to a new nuclear order.
01:58 – The Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) and the nine nuclear-armed states.
04:49 – The key factors that affect a country’s calculation on nukes.
05:47 – Security: do nuclear weapons make a country more, or less, safe?
07:22 – The US nuclear umbrella – can it still be trusted?
08:10 – Do nuclear weapons enhance a country’s status?
09:40 – What’s going on with Iran?
14:32 – Who gets to police the global nuclear order?
14:52 – How the nine nuclear-armed states are increasing their spending on nukes.

Chống giả mạo sinh học (biopiracy) cho nông sản Việt: Nhìn từ cuộc chiến pháp lý của Ấn Độ

vneconomy.vn LS.Lê Quang Vinh (*) 12/07/2021,

Giả mạo sinh học trong nông nghiệp được các nhà khoa học định nghĩa là hiện tượng ăn cắp tri thức truyền thống, đa dạng sinh học và nguồn gen thuộc về cộng đồng bản địa ở lãnh thổ A để xác lập quyền độc quyền hợp pháp dưới dạng sáng chế (pa-tăng) ở lãnh thổ B với chủ ý lấy tên gốc ban đầu của giống cây trồng đã biết.

Chống giả mạo sinh học vì thế được xem là cuộc chiến cam go mà nông sản Việt có thể sẽ phải đối mặt trong thời gian tới.

Ảnh minh họa
Ảnh minh họa

MẠO DANH THƯƠNG HIỆU NÔNG SẢN ĐẾN MẠO DANH SINH HỌC

Năm 2018, bà con nông dân ở huyện đảo Lý Sơn đã phải lên tiếng bày tỏ quan ngại sâu sắc về việc nhiều tiểu thương, doanh nghiệp mạo danh tỏi Lý Sơn. Điều này được xem là “ảnh hưởng nghiêm trọng” đến danh tiếng đặc sản nổi tiếng của Lý Sơn, một loại tỏi có hương vị cay dịu nhẹ chứ không cay nồng như các loại tỏi khác được trồng ở 3 xã An Bình, An Hải và An Vĩnh thuộc huyện đảo Lý Sơn, tỉnh Quảng Ngãi. Vì thế, sau rất nhiều nỗ lực, ngày 29/6/2020, tỏi Lý Sơn chính thức được bảo hộ dưới hình thức chỉ dẫn địa lý theo Quyết định 2421/QĐ-SHTT của Cục trưởng Cục Sở hữu trí tuệ.

Tiếp tục đọc “Chống giả mạo sinh học (biopiracy) cho nông sản Việt: Nhìn từ cuộc chiến pháp lý của Ấn Độ”

What is biopiracy? And how a new UN treaty tries to get rid of it

Biopiracy: How companies are buying up nature

Medicines and cosmetics use substances derived from nature. But Bioprospecting can turn into biopiracy. More and more companies are patenting natural ingredients making billions. It can come at a cost to the environment and traditional communities living in biodiversity-rich regions.

A new UN treaty tries to get rid of it

Tiếp tục đọc “What is biopiracy? And how a new UN treaty tries to get rid of it”

Dark fleet tankers: Estonia’s case study warning for Southeast Asia

The increasing number of false-flagged and stateless tankers is reshaping maritime security challenges across the world’s sea lanes.

imarest.org

There are tankers that exploit gaps in international law by fraudulently registering under flags of convenience or assuming false identities to avoid enforcement. Indeed, approximately 100+ false-flagged tankers now operate with limited scrutiny in critical regions like the Indian Ocean and South China Sea, bringing new impetus to the questions for coastal states: do they have the legal right to act, and should they exercise that right? 

Estonia’s recent boarding of the tanker Kiwala has put these questions in the spotlight. Acting within its territorial sea, the Estonian Navy relied on the powers granted under the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) to intervene when a vessel’s passage is no longer ‘innocent’. The vessel was known to be operating under a false flag — a clear violation of international shipping norms. 

Tiếp tục đọc “Dark fleet tankers: Estonia’s case study warning for Southeast Asia”

Mekong: The River That Feeds 70 Million People – Now in Danger

What happens when the river that feeds 70 million people is pushed to the brink?

The Mekong River runs over 5,000 km and across 6 countries: China, Burma, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia, and Vietnam, where it ends with its famous delta.

For hundreds of years, it has provided shelter, food, and all kinds of natural resources to over 60 million people who lived in harmony with the generous mother of all rivers. However, with the rapid growth that South East Asia is experiencing, as witnessed by the ever-increasing constructions and economic development projects, the fragile balance of communities living by and from its waters is at stake.

Facing a threat as well as an opportunity, the future of the Mekong lies in the diversity of its cultures and the beauty of its landscapes, shaped both by the river and its inhabitants.

00:00 – Introduction: Mother of All Rivers
01:33 – Laos: Boatmakers & River Traditions
06:57 – Prosperity and Struggles Along the Mekong
08:33 – Food, Insects & Rice: Life by the River
15:49 – Giant Fish and Ancient Conflicts
22:36 – Cambodia: The Mekong and Tonle Sap Lake
29:35 – Cambodia’s Dependence on the River
35:28 – Vietnam’s Mekong Delta: Nine Dragons of Asia
43:19 – Floating Markets & Rice Harvests
46:09 – Shrimp Farms and Environmental Challenges
50:55 – The Mekong’s Fragile Future

Infrastructure as Strategy: How Vietnam Rewires Indochina through Ports and Roads

fulcrum.sg Published 13 Feb 2026 Hoang Thi Ha

Vietnam is often portrayed as losing influence in Laos and Cambodia to China. But the construction of key infrastructure gives Hanoi some measure of agency.

Vietnam is often portrayed as steadily losing its traditional influence in neighbouring Laos and Cambodia to China. Such assessments overlook an emerging dimension of Hanoi’s statecraft: by building critical infrastructure along its southwestern coast and granting Laos maritime access, Hanoi is transforming its coastline into strategic leverage to counter regional power shifts and consolidate its geopolitical footprint.

Laos – the only country having “special relations” with Vietnam, rooted in shared revolutionary history and deep political trust – has long relied on overland routes to Thailand and the Chinese-built Kunming-Vientiane high-speed train. This has improved connectivity across its mountainous terrain and boosted trade with China, but saddled Vientiane with heavy debts.

Vietnam offers a cheaper alternative: providing direct maritime access to help Laos overcome its landlocked geography. Since 2001, Vung Ang Port in Ha Tinh province — the nearest major port to the Vietnam-Laos border — has been developed with three berths, granting Laos not just access but substantive control. Through the Lao-Viet International Port Company, the Lao government has expanded its stake from 20 per cent to 60 per cent, securing management rights and development priority over the port.

With a designed throughput exceeding 6.5 million tonnes per year, Vung Ang is becoming an important maritime outlet for Laos, handling its minerals exports and other bulk commodities, as well as cargo from northeastern Thailand. The 585km Vientiane-Vung Ang corridor is approximately 200km shorter than the route via Bangkok to Thailand’s Laem Chabang port, saving transport time and logistics costs. Both countries are discussing upgrades to rail and road connectivity along this axis, including the proposed Vientiane-Vung Ang railway and Vientiane-Hanoi expressway.

Tiếp tục đọc “Infrastructure as Strategy: How Vietnam Rewires Indochina through Ports and Roads”

Europe’s youth have more realistic view of China

chinadaily.com By Kerry Brown,Zhang Li and Ivona Rajevac | China Daily | Updated: 2026-02-09 07:32

MA XUEJING/CHINA DAILY

Editor’s note: The Institute of European Studies of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences released a survey report in Beijing on Feb 4 examining European youth’s perceptions of China and China-EU relations. The report is based on a large-scale survey of nearly 20,000 respondents conducted across 36 European countries. Scholars and policy experts discussed the findings at the briefing. Below are excerpts of the remarks by three of the experts.

Opening their eyes to the real China

Europe stands at a critical juncture in evaluating its stance toward China, especially as the global geopolitical landscape grows increasingly complex in 2026. The survey findings reveal a nuanced mosaic of attitudes. Young Europeans, in particular, are engaging with China not merely through an ideological lens but by examining its tangible economic, technological and social footprint. This growing sophistication reflects both the accessibility of information through digital platforms and the lived realities of globalization, where China’s influence touches supply chains, consumer goods, education and technology.

The perception of China as a significant player in global technology is gaining traction. For European youth, understanding China is no longer a simple matter of curiosity; it is increasingly about engaging with a country that is transforming before their eyes. Long-held notions of China as a technologically backward or peripheral actor are rapidly fading. China’s investments in research and development now far exceed those of the United Kingdom, many European countries, and even the European Union in aggregate. In the 15th Five-Year Plan (2026-30) period, China is set to strengthen its capabilities in life sciences, pharmaceuticals, healthcare and other critical sectors.

Tiếp tục đọc “Europe’s youth have more realistic view of China”

The 10 Worst and best U.S. Foreign Policy Decisions Ever until 2016 – According to Historians

Cfr.org

From violent westward expansion to interwar isolationism to ruinous military interventions, discover which U.S. foreign policy decisions left the most tarnished legacies.


From securing America’s sovereignty to expanding its continental reach to creating the post-World War II institutions that ushered in unprecedented peace and prosperity, discover which U.S. foreign policy decisions left the most positive legacies.

List of 10 Worst Policy Decisions

Tiếp tục đọc “The 10 Worst and best U.S. Foreign Policy Decisions Ever until 2016 – According to Historians”