Will Vietnam eventually adopt American democracy as its relationship with the USA warms?

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Henry R. Greenfield 50+ Yrs: India, China, Australia, Singapore, Vietnam, Europe
Lives in Europe (2023–present)4y

Having lived 5 years in Vietnam, I am disappointed with the answers. Here is my view based on my direct experience from 1992–98 living there and subsequently doing business from outside of Vietnam with the country.

  1. Vietnam is a dictatorship ruled by the communist party in the North. The south has very limited rights. Until recently the South had none and every person of responsibility everywhere in the country was from the ruling communist party in the North.
  2. The communist party trusts no one. Doing deals with the USA means a better life for them and their people. That’s it.
  3. Vietnam suffered for 60 years with revolution, war and embargoes. They don’t want to go back. The are cooperating with the US not just for the markets but because they are worried about China who they have feared and fought for over 1,000 years most recently in 1979.
  4. There is no way Vietnam will ever become a democracy as long as it is ruled by the North Vietnam led communist party. The system is similar to the state sponsored capitalism of China. There is no history of democracy in Vietnam. The communist party has absolute control. Everything is seen through a military and strategic lens. Even though the US is a ‘partner’ and they have no residual anger at the US, and many admire the US and millions of Vietnamese are in the US and other western countries especially Australia, there is zero chance in my view of Vietnam trying democracy in the future.

I have never been in any country that is more sure of itself than Vietnam. The people that fought against the US and their descendants who are now in control, have one trait in common, they never give in. Never and they will never change.

Is it possible in the future? Sure anything is possible, but I don’t see it in my lifetime or the next 50 years.

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