Déjà vu? The global LNG industry risks repeating the coal bust of the 2010s

IEEFA November 20, 2025 Amandine Denis-Ryan

 Key Findings

In the early 2010s, the coal industry attracted a large wave of investment, banking on surging coal imports from China and India.

When this growth didn’t materialise, coal oversupply and depressed prices sent major companies bankrupt with significant value destruction for shareholders.

The LNG industry risks repeating the coal industry’s mistakes, as investment levels outstrip future demand, with potentially more severe consequences for the capital-intensive industry.

Peddling a ‘supercycle’ for coal in the 2010s

In the early 2010s, the coal industry was on the rise. Global trade had tripled between 1990 and 2011, with the 2000s experiencing “the largest growth in coal demand in history – greater than the previous four decades combined”. This growth was expected to accelerate after China and India entered the global coal import market (Figure 1). Between 2011 and 2012, global coal imports increased by 13% and coal prices doubled (Figure 2).

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More Than Half Of China’s Adults Now Obese Or Overweight

CNA More than half of Chinese adults are overweight or obese, a potential ticking timebomb for the country’s healthcare sector. So, last March, China announced greater efforts to tackle rising obesity rates, with health authorities rolling out a nationwide weight management campaign during the annual ‘Two Sessions’ meeting.

How did China go from food scarcity two generations ago to rapid weight gain now? What does diet, lifestyle and education have to do with it? As beating obesity becomes a national priority, can China beat the bulge?

China’s Tourism Explodes in 2025: 100% More Visitors, and Here’s Why

If you’ve been following travel trends this year, you might have noticed something interesting: social media feeds are filling up with foreigners riding Chinese high-speed trains, walking through ancient towns, and paying for everything with their phones—in China.

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China Focus · Jiangqin Huang Dec 10, 2025

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China’s Tourism Explodes in 2025: 100% More Visitors, and Here’s Why

China Focus · Jiangqin Huang Dec 10, 2025

China’s Tourism Explodes in 2025: 100% More Visitors, and Here’s Why

If you’ve been following travel trends this year, you might have noticed something interesting: social media feeds are filling up with foreigners riding Chinese high-speed trains, walking through ancient towns, and paying for everything with their phones—in China.

According to data from the Chinese online travel platform Ctrip, inbound tourism to China surged by over 100% in 2025 compared to last year. And it’s not just about more arrivals—spending is up sharply, with U.S. tourist expenditure growing 50% and French visitors’ spending jumping an astonishing 160%.

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China is overplaying its rare earth hand in Japan

CNA Few countries are better prepared against China threatening their rare earth supplies than Japan, says David Fickling for Bloomberg Opinion.

Commentary: China is overplaying its rare earth hand in Japan
A labourer works at a site of a rare earth metals mine at Nancheng county, Jiangxi province, China, on Mar 14, 2012. (File photo: Reuters)
David Fickling 09 Jan 2026 05:59AM(Updated: 09 Jan 2026 09:30AM)

SYDNEY: To a hammer, every problem is a nail. If your most potent means of geopolitical leverage is threatening supplies of high-strength magnets, rare earth elements will always be the solution. 

That’s the latest approach Beijing is taking in its dispute with Tokyo sparked by comments from Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi about the possibility of military conflict over Taiwan. Exports of all items with potential military applications to Japan will be immediately banned, China’s Ministry of Commerce said on Tuesday (Jan 6)

The most obvious victim of this threat will be rare earth magnets made with the elements neodymium and praseodymium, and increasingly spiced up with rarer samarium, dysprosium and terbium. They’re used everywhere from charging cables to the switchgear in wind turbines to motors powering electric vehicles, missile guidance systems and aircraft flaps.

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Trung Quốc đạt thặng dư thương mại 1.000 tỷ USD như thế nào

Thứ bảy, 13/12/2025, 16:30 (GMT+7) VNExpress

Bất chấp sức ép từ thuế nhập khẩu của Mỹ, Trung Quốc vẫn thặng dư 1.000 tỷ USD chỉ trong 11 tháng – kỷ lục chưa quốc gia nào đạt được.

Một năm trước, ông Donald Trump tái đắc cử Tổng thống Mỹ. Lo ngại cuộc chiến thương mại mới diễn ra, các hãng sản xuất Trung Quốc gấp rút đẩy mạnh xuất khẩu. Trong chiến dịch tranh cử, ông Trump tuyên bố sẽ áp thêm thuế nhập khẩu lên hàng hóa Trung Quốc, nhằm thu hẹp thâm hụt thương mại ngày càng lớn của Mỹ.

Một năm sau, Tổng thống Mỹ thực hiện đúng cam kết. Nhưng Trung Quốc cũng đã chuyển hướng chiến lược, và thậm chí còn xuất khẩu nhiều hơn.

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Australia’s Strategic Priorities and Challenges with Southeast Asia

lowyinstitute.org By Susannah Patton 6 November 2025

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Introduction

Going into the 2022 election, improving relations with Southeast Asia was at the top of the foreign policy to-do list for the Australian Labor Party, led by now prime minister Anthony Albanese. While the outgoing Liberal-National coalition government had notched up some achievements in its engagement with the region, there was also a sense of drift. The Pacific Step Up policy had focused on boosting ties with one of Australia’s two near regions, but Southeast Asia had not received the same level of diplomatic focus. Among the Labor Party’s pledges were appointing a special envoy for Southeast Asia, providing A$470 million in new aid to the region, and creating an office for Southeast Asia within the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade. [1] For the most part, the Albanese government has followed through on its commitment to strengthen ties with Southeast Asia through more active diplomatic outreach, an economic strategy to boost two-way trade and investment, and a more nuanced approach to managing sensitive issues in Australia’s relations with the region, especially China-related issues and Middle East policy.

During the new term of government beginning in 2025, it is likely that the Albanese government will maintain Southeast Asia, along with the Pacific Islands, as a region of high priority. Albanese’s July 2025 John Curtin Oration articulated what he called Labor’s “constructive and creative role” and gave high billing to efforts to intensify economic engagement with Southeast Asia and deepen security cooperation with Indonesia. [2] While other global relationships may fluctuate according to events, the central importance of Southeast Asia within this distinctively Labor worldview suggests that engagement with this region, especially Indonesia, will remain high on Australia’s agenda for the next three years.

This essay analyzes the achievements of the Albanese government in its relations with Southeast Asia. It also assesses the continued challenges Australia faces both in deepening economic relations with the region and in continuing to balance regional ties with the U.S. alliance, especially given a less predictable and more demanding administration in Washington.

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Nuclear energy: Where China is getting with small modular and fusion reactors

On Oct. 13 of this year, the PRC state media outlet CPNN, reported that China is pulling ahead in advanced nuclear power technology development with the launch of the large-scale production “Hualong One” (also known as HPR1000). As it develops, China not only aims to tackle the transmission bottleneck in the south, but also to export to countries like Pakistan as the PRC’s “business card” to the world.

China’s dual goals of localization and export orientation have long defined its nuclear strategy. Led by state-owned giants such as the China National Nuclear Corporation (CNNC), Beijing has invested heavily in domestic innovation while aggressively expanding into overseas markets. Beijing has sought to expand its reactor sales to markets such as Argentina and the United Kingdom, while also securing control over upstream uranium resources. CNNC’s 2019 acquisition of Namibia’s Rössing Uranium Mine, one of the world’s largest open-pit uranium operations, underscored China’s growing dominance across the nuclear value.

Beijing’s policy support for state-owned enterprises has enabled it to build a vertically integrated nuclear industry, driving rapid advances in small modular reactors (SMRs), fourth-generation technologies, and nuclear fusion research (the Artificial Sun). Furthermore, intensifying US–China competition is reshaping global nuclear exports and deepening the geopolitical risks of dependence on Chinese nuclear systems.

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China wants to lead the world on AI regulation — will the plan work?

nature.com

Having placed artificial intelligence at the centre of its own economic strategy, China is driving efforts to create an international system to govern the technology’s use.

Chinese President Xi Jinping speaks at the APEC Economic Leaders' Meeting.
Chinese president Xi Jinping speaking at the 2025 Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation meeting in Gyeongju, South Korea.Credit: Yonhap via AP/Alamy

Despite risks ranging from exacerbating inequality to causing existential catastrophe, the world has yet to agree on regulations to govern artificial intelligence. Although a patchwork of national and regional regulations exists, for many countries binding rules are still being fleshed out.

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Lịch sử Trung Quốc 5000 năm trong 10 tiếng (siêu chi tiết) | Tóm tắt lịch sử

Trung Quốc là 1 trong 4 nền văn minh cổ nhất thế giới, bắt nguồn từ lưu vực của hai con sông: Hoàng Hà và Trường Giang. Trải qua hơn 5.000 năm, văn minh Trung Hoa đã phát triển trở thành một trong số nền văn minh rực rỡ nhất thế giới trong thời cổ đại và trung đại, đặc trưng bởi hệ thống triết học thâm sâu (trong đó có Nho giáo, Đạo giáo và thuyết Âm dương ngũ hành), các thành tựu khoa học kỹ thuật (phát minh ra giấy, la bàn, thuốc súng, địa chấn kế, kỹ thuật in ấn…), hoạt động giao thương xuyên châu Á (Con đường tơ lụa) và những đô thị có quy mô dân số và trình độ kiến trúc hàng đầu thế giới vào thời trung cổ.

Video tóm tắt toàn bộ chiều dài lịch sử trung quốc, chi tiết & đầy đủ trong 10 tiếng, qua các thời kỳ: thời cổ đại, triều Hạ, triều Thương, triều Chu, thời kỳ xuân thu – chiến quốc, triều Tần, thời kỳ hán – sở tranh hùng, triều Hán, thời kỳ Tam Quốc, triều Tấn, thời kỳ Nam Bắc triều, triều Tùy, triều Đường, thời kỳ ngũ đại thập quốc, triều Tống, triều Nguyên, triều Minh, triều Thanh, Trung Hoa Dân Quốc, và CHND Trung Hoa.

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Australia and Mekong River Commision deepen cooperation to strengthen river monitoring and digital innovation in Lao PDR

mrcmekong.org

Australia and MRC deepen cooperation to strengthen river monitoring and digital innovation in Lao PDR

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Vientiane, Lao PDR, 6 November 2025 – The Mekong River Commission (MRC) and the Government of Australia have reinforced their long-standing partnership through additional Australian support and the use of new digital innovations to enhance water monitoring and management in the Mekong region.

At a ceremony held today at the MRC Secretariat in Vientiane, Australia formalised an additional USD 1.71 million to support the MRC’s Environment and River Profile Survey, a key program that helps the MRC to enhance monitoring of river conditions, improve forecast changes, and better assess the health of the basin. This ensures the MRC can continue gathering and analysing data effectively that inform decisions on the river’s management and protection.

Australia’s support for the Environment and River Profile Survey builds on its core support to the MRC under the Mekong-Australia Partnership, which seeks to strengthen water security, economic resilience and sustainable growth in the sub-region. “Australia is proud to support this project as it will benefit the MRC, its member countries, and the river’s communities, economy, and environment” said H.E. Ms Megan Jones, Australian Ambassador to Lao PDR.

Joining the event was His Excellency Dr Linkham Douangsavanh, Minister of Agriculture and Environment of Lao PDR. Together with the MRC and Australia, he witnessed the formal launch of a new “Digital Twin” platform, a real-time modelling tool that integrates hydrological, meteorological and spatial data to help visualise how changes in rainfall, flow or land-use could affect communities and ecosystems.

“With this Digital Twin platform, we are giving our communities and partners a window into the river’s future,” said Dr Douangsavanh. “When we see what may come, we can plan better, respond faster and protect the peoples and their livelihoods and nature that depend so much on the Mekong.”

“Today we harness new digital capabilities and advanced capabilities so that we can ensure shared benefits for the sustainable development of the Mekong River Basin. The MRC is grateful for this timely support from Australia that has allowed this to happen,” said H.E. Ms Busadee Santipitaks, Chief Executive Officer of the MRC Secretariat.

About the Mekong River Commission

The MRC is an intergovernmental organisation established in 1995 to boost regional dialogue and cooperation in the Lower Mekong River Basin. Based on the Mekong Agreement among Cambodia, Lao PDR, Thailand, and Viet Nam, the MRC serves as both a regional platform for water diplomacy and a knowledge hub – to manage water resources and support sustainable development of the region.

Government Debt to GDP by Country in 2025

visualcapitalist

By Niccolo Conte Graphics/Design: Sabrina Lam

Global map of government debt in 2025 by country

Key Takeaways

  • The global debt-to-GDP ratio rose 2.3 percentage points to 94.7% in 2025, but is still below the pandemic-era peak of 98.7% in 2020.
  • Japan remains the world’s most indebted nation at 230% of GDP, followed by Sudan (222%) and Singapore (176%).

Global debt levels continue to rise, with 2025 marking another year of fiscal strain across both advanced and developing economies.

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China’s shipyard dominance leads to geoeconomic risks

japantimes.co.jp 2025.07.02

China’s unparalleled shipbuilding capacity has the U.S., Japan and its allies — both military and economic — rightly concerned about maritime threats to trade and security.
Without a concerted effort and international cooperation to challenge Beijing’s commanding lead in the global shipbuilding industry, those threats will materialize furthering China’s alarming dominance.

According to 2024 data from the Chinese government, the country ranks first worldwide in ship completions, new orders and order backlogs — claiming global shares of 55.7%, 74.1% and 63.1%, respectively. China is also expanding its capabilities in high value-added vessels, surpassing South Korea and Japan, while consolidating its role as a “shipbuilding superpower.”

Shipbuilding is not merely an economic activity — it underpins both global trade and national defense. Civilian shipbuilding provides the foundation for training engineers and skilled workers essential to naval production. As such, the growth of China’s shipbuilding sector carries profound implications, not only for maritime commerce but also for the international security architecture.

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Vì sao băng nhóm tội phạm Crypto ở Đông Nam Á nở rộ –  Why scam gangs in Southeast Asia are a growing global threat

Griffith.edu.au May 19, 2025 By Dr Hai Thanh Luong

From fake job offers to cryptocurrency fraud and online romance scams, Southeast Asia has become a global hub for transnational scam operations. 

These aren’t isolated crimes, they are organised, cross-border and industrial-scale criminal enterprises that exploit vulnerable people and expose the limits of international law enforcement.

New research shows this surge in scams represents more than just a regional issue. It’s a transnational emergency, and it demands an urgent, coordinated response.

Why Southeast Asia?

Several factors have turned Southeast Asia into a hotbed for scam syndicates. 

The collapse of rule of law in parts of Myanmar has created ungoverned spaces where criminal operations flourish. 

Meanwhile, countries like Cambodia, Laos and the Philippines offer a fertile environment for transnational crime due to weak governance, corruption, and limited oversight.

These scam centres don’t just target foreign victims. They also lure and trap workers—many of them young people from poorer nations—under the false promise of legitimate employment. Once inside, many are subjected to forced labour, abuse and trafficking.

This has become a humanitarian crisis as scam compounds across Southeast Asia have held thousands of people against their will, forcing them to commit fraud under threat of violence.

The rise of digital technologies has only made these operations harder to trace and easier to scale. From encrypted messaging to unregulated cryptocurrency, scam networks have globalised rapidly, while enforcement efforts remain stuck behind borders.

Why national responses aren’t working

One of the key challenges in confronting this crisis is the fragmented nature of law enforcement. 

Scams that begin in one country can target victims in another, while using platforms, payment systems, and communication tools hosted across multiple jurisdictions.

But many national police forces are not equipped to act beyond their borders. And transnational criminal syndicates have exploited the lack of international coordination to operate with relative impunity.

Even where political will exists, legal mismatches and diplomatic bottlenecks prevent timely investigations, arrests or prosecutions. 

Countries tend to focus inward, launching isolated crackdowns that fail to dismantle the broader networks.

This mismatch between the global nature of the threat and the localised nature of responses is precisely what allows these scams to thrive.

What needs to happen

To seriously confront this growing criminal economy, regional governments must prioritise coordinated responses, cross-border investigations, and robust intelligence sharing.

This includes:

  • Building shared databases and real-time intelligence channels to track trends, suspects and operations;
  • Developing harmonised legal tools to enable prosecutions and asset recovery across jurisdictions;
  • Working with tech and financial platforms to shut down scam infrastructure;
  • Protecting and rehabilitating victims, particularly those trafficked into scam compounds.

ASEAN, Interpol, and UNODC all have a role to play. But meaningful cooperation remains patchy, slow and overly politicised. Tackling scams as a global crisis, not just a regional one, will require serious investment and political leadership.

A crisis we can’t ignore

Scams are often dismissed as digital annoyances or consumer issues. 

The response to this crisis cannot be local, slow or siloed. The fight against transnational scams cannot be won in isolation. 

Only by working together can states dismantle the criminal networks exploiting the region’s vulnerabilities.

But what we are seeing in Southeast Asia is a complex ecosystem of transnational organised crime, often underpinned by exploitation and violence.

Billions of dollars are being stolen. Thousands of people are being trafficked and abused. And public trust in digital systems is eroding as scams become more sophisticated.

“Một loại ung thư” – UN cảnh báo tập đoàn tội phạm mạng Châu Á mở rộng khắp thế giới – ‘A cancer’: UN warns Asia-based cybercrime syndicates expanding worldwide

Al Jazeera

Agency says gangs caused $37bn in losses in Asia as they gain new footholds in Africa, South America, and Middle East.

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Why China is finally starting to acknowledge its overcapacity problem

channelnewsasia.com

Where Beijing once celebrated its manufacturing and export prowess, it now openly discusses the need to curb “involution”. This is a dramatic departure from its previous stance, says Enodo Economics’ Diana Choyleva.

Commentary: Why China is finally starting to acknowledge its overcapacity problem
People browse in electric car showrooms located on the 5th floor in a popular shopping mall in Beijing on Jul 21, 2025. (Photo: CNA/Hu Chushi)

LONDON: For years, Beijing dismissed Western concerns about Chinese overcapacity as protectionist rhetoric. When the United States and European Union complained about cheap Chinese exports flooding global markets, China’s response was predictable: These were simply competitive advantages in a free market economy.

That narrative has now fundamentally shifted. In a remarkable policy U-turn, China has not only started acknowledging the overcapacity problem but is treating it as a national priority that requires urgent intervention.

While there have been signs of this narrative change for a while, the clearest signal of this messaging transformation came through recently on China’s own policy channels.

In July, the Communist Party’s leading journal Qiushi warned that “disorderly competition has destroyed entire industry ecology”. This wasn’t diplomatic language about market dynamics – it was an admission that destructive competition had reached crisis proportions.

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