CSIS: AMTI Brief – February 18, 2016

Washed Away: Typhooon Spotlights Island Building

Earlier this month Chinese media reported that Typhoon Melor, which devastated parts of the Philippines from December 12 to 17, also washed away Vietnamese reclamation work underway at Cornwallis South Reef in the disputed Spratly Islands. Those reports were correct, but lacked important context. The attention drawn by the typhoon highlights the significant differences between the scope and type of China’s reclamation work in the Spratly Islands and the much more limited work undertaken by Vietnam, but it also shows that Hanoi did itself no favors by undertaking such work at this feature in particular. Read on…

 

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CSIS: Southeast Asia From Scott Circle – Feb 18, 2016: A Tumultuous 2016 In The South China Sea

A Tumultuous 2016 In The South China Sea

By Gregory Poling (@GregPoling), Fellow, Chair for Southeast Asia Studies (@SoutheastAsiaDC), CSIS

February 18, 2016

This promises to be a landmark year for the claimant countries and other interested parties in the South China Sea disputes. Developments that have been underway for several years, especially China’s island-building campaign in the Spratlys and Manila’s arbitration case against Beijing, will come to fruition. These and other developments will draw outside players, including the United States, Japan, Australia, and India, into greater involvement. Meanwhile a significant increase in Chinese forces and capabilities will lead to more frequent run-ins with its neighbors. Tiếp tục đọc “CSIS: Southeast Asia From Scott Circle – Feb 18, 2016: A Tumultuous 2016 In The South China Sea”

CSIS: SOUTHEAST ASIA FROM SCOTT CIRCLE – FEB 4, 2016

Southeast Asia From Scott Circle – Feb 4: Leadership Changes And Upcoming Obama Visit Give U.S. New Opportunities In Laos
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Leadership Changes And Upcoming Obama Visit Give U.S. New Opportunities In Laos

By Murray Hiebert (@MurrayHiebert1), Senior Fellow and Deputy Director, Chair for Southeast Asia Studies (@SoutheastAsiaDC), CSIS

February 4, 2016

Leadership changes announced at a recently completed congress of the ruling Lao People’s Revolutionary Party and President Barack Obama’s planned visit to Vientiane in September, the first ever to Laos by a sitting U.S. president, give Washington an important opportunity to boost ties with this landlocked nation of less than 7 million people along China’s southern flank. Tiếp tục đọc “CSIS: SOUTHEAST ASIA FROM SCOTT CIRCLE – FEB 4, 2016”

CSIS: AMTI Brief – Evaluating the Asia-Pacific Rebalance – Feb 4, 2016

AMTI Brief – Evaluating the Asia-Pacific Rebalance

Evaluating the Asia-Pacific Rebalance

The Center for Strategic and International Studies last month completed an independent review of the defense portion of the Obama administration’s rebalance to the Asia Pacific. This review, which includes an evaluation of the rebalance’s implementation and resourcing as well as recommendations for its improvement, was mandated by the U.S. Congress under the 2015 National Defense Authorization Act. Tiếp tục đọc “CSIS: AMTI Brief – Evaluating the Asia-Pacific Rebalance – Feb 4, 2016”

Revving up the Rebalance to Asia

  • Photo courtesy of  sama093 from https://www.flickr.com/photos/sama093/16927401365/
    JAN 26, 2016

    The events of this month have reminded Americans that Asia is a region of both great opportunity and significant risk. In just the first two weeks of the year, North Korea conducted its fourth nuclear test, China began flying aircraft to airfields constructed on disputed features in the South China Sea, and Taiwan’s opposition candidate surged towards a victory in elections that will likely draw fire from Beijing. Tiếp tục đọc “Revving up the Rebalance to Asia”

CSIS SOUTHEAST ASIA SIT-REP – JAN 28, 2016

CSIS Southeast Asia Sit-Rep – Jan 28

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CSIS Southeast Asia SIT-REP

This issue brings you a preview of China’s relations with Southeast Asia in the year ahead, analysis of Australia’s increasingly vital role on global issues, a video overview of the U.S. rebalance to the Asia Pacific, assessments of the Philippines’ military modernization and Indonesia’s counterterrorism measures, and much more. Links will take you to the full publications, multimedia, or to registration for upcoming programs when available. To jump to a section, select one of the following: Tiếp tục đọc “CSIS SOUTHEAST ASIA SIT-REP – JAN 28, 2016”

CSIS: Southeast Asia from Scott Circle Jan. 21, 2016

Southeast Asia From Scott Circle – Jan 21: For China, A Race To Retain Appeal In Southeast Asia

For China, A Race To Retain Appeal In Southeast Asia

By Phuong Nguyen (@PNguyen_DC), Associate Fellow, Chair for Southeast Asia Studies (@SoutheastAsiaDC), CSIS

January 21, 2015

The landslide election in Taiwan of pro-independence opposition leader Tsai Ing-wen to be president has led to speculation of a possible recalibration in Chinese foreign policy, at least in the year ahead. Observers believe that stable cross-strait relations over the past eight years have allowed Beijing the bandwidth to explore greener pastures such as the once-dormant South China Sea dispute and expand its footprint across Southeast Asia. Tiếp tục đọc “CSIS: Southeast Asia from Scott Circle Jan. 21, 2016”

CSIS: Asia-Pacific Rebalance 2025

Capabilities, Presence, and Partnerships
Contributor: Ernest Bower, Victor Cha, Heather Conley, Zack Cooper, Ryan Crotty, Melissa Dalton, Bonnie Glaser, Rebecca Hersman, Murray Hiebert, Christopher Johnson, Thomas Karako, Stephanie Sanok Kostro, Gregory Poling, Richard Rossow, John Schaus, Sharon Squassoni, Nicholas Szechenyi, Denise Zheng
JAN 19, 2016
In 2015, Congress tasked the Department of Defense to commission an independent assessment of U.S. military strategy and force posture in the Asia-Pacific, as well as that of U.S. allies and partners, over the next decade. This CSIS study fulfills that congressional requirement. The authors assess U.S. progress to date and recommend initiatives necessary to protect U.S. interests in the Pacific Command area of responsibility through 2025. Four lines of effort are highlighted: (1) Washington needs to continue aligning Asia strategy within the U.S. government and with allies and partners; (2) U.S. leaders should accelerate efforts to strengthen ally and partner capability, capacity, resilience, and interoperability; (3) the United States should sustain and expand U.S. military presence in the Asia-Pacific region; and (4) the United States should accelerate development of innovative capabilities and concepts for U.S. forces.
Publisher CSIS/Rowman & Littlefield
ISBN 978-1-4422-5916-4 (pb); 978-1-4422-5917-1 (eBook)

CSIS: AMTI Brief – January 15, 2016

Airstrips Near Completion

In early September 2015, AMTI released images showing that China had effectively completed construction of its first Spratly Islands airstrip on Fiery Cross Reef, was continuing work on its second at Subi Reef, and was preparing to begin work on a third at Mischief Reef. Four months later, China has not only landed three civilian test flights on Fiery Cross, but is progressing even faster than expected with its work at Subi and especially Mischief. Construction of the Fiery Cross airstrip took at least seven months from the start of grading, which was visible by February 2015. Tiếp tục đọc “CSIS: AMTI Brief – January 15, 2016”

CSIS Southeast Asia Sit-Rep – Jan 14, 2016

CSIS Southeast Asia Sit-Rep – Jan 14

A five-minute read on our best updates and programs

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CSIS SOUTHEAST ASIA SIT-REP

This issue brings you a preview of the Sunnylands summit between President Barack Obama and ASEAN heads of state in February, an explainer on the Jakarta terrorist attacks, analysis on the timing of the Philippines’ arbitration case against China, and much more. Links will take you to the full publications, multimedia, or to registration for upcoming programs when available. To jump to a section, select one of the following:


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CSIS: Southeast Asia from Scott Circle – Jan 7, 2016

Sunnylands Summit Provides Opportunity To Bolster U.S.-Southeast Asia Ties

By Murray Hiebert (@MurrayHiebert1), Senior Fellow and Deputy Director, Chair for Southeast Asia Studies (@SoutheastAsiaDC), CSIS

January 7, 2015

President Barack Obama will host leaders from the 10 ASEAN countries for a summit at the lush Sunnylands retreat in southern California on February 15 and 16 in a gesture aimed at deepening U.S. ties to this dynamic region. The president raised the idea of the meeting with Southeast Asian leaders at the U.S.-ASEAN Summit in Kuala Lumpur in November 2015, during which he and his ASEAN counterparts announced the upgrading of U.S.-ASEAN relations to a strategic partnership. The leaders will look to flesh out the ASEAN-U.S. Plan of Action 2016–2020 that they endorsed at the summit in Kuala Lumpur. Tiếp tục đọc “CSIS: Southeast Asia from Scott Circle – Jan 7, 2016”

CSIS Energy Publication | Assessing the Final Clean Power Plan: Emissions Outcomes

FROM THE CSIS ENERGY AND NATIONAL SECURITY PROGRAM

Assessing the Final Clean Power Plan:
Emissions Outcomes

The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency’s (EPA) Clean Power Plan (CPP) is the most significant greenhouse gas (GHG) policy ever undertaken in the United States, and is expected to achieve significant emission reductions by the time it is fully implemented in 2030. However, calculating the ultimate emissions-abatement potential is more difficult than simply adding up the state reduction targets. While the EPA has set a floor on cumulative emissions from existing fossil-fuel-fired power plants, it has not set a ceiling, and projecting the actual emissions outcome on a national level is not straightforward due to the flexibility states have in implementation.

Our analysis deepens the understanding of the potential emissions outcomes of the CPP and what factors could influence that outcome. We start by explaining the primary factor that has the potential to undermine EPA’s emissions floor—leakage—and how EPA is attempting to address this issue. We then turn to a quantitative analysis of two potential pathways for state implementation plans (SIPs) under optimal implementation conditions. Bearing in mind that optimal implementation is unlikely, we also explore key drivers and decisions that could result in emissions that are higher or lower than our initial projections.

To read the full report, click here

By: John Larsen, Director, Rhodium Group, and Non-Resident Senior Associate, Energy and National Security Program, CSIS; Sarah Ladislaw, Director and Senior Fellow, Energy and National Security Program, CSIS; Michelle Melton, Associate Fellow, Energy and National Security Program, CSIS; and Whitney Herndon, Research Analyst, Rhodium Group

RECENT PUBLICATIONS

Adjusting to Low Prices:
Prospects for Fossil Fuel Subsidy Reform

By: Sarah Ladislaw, Director and Senior Fellow, Energy and National Security Program, CSIS and Zachary Cuyler, Research Associate, Energy and National Security Program, CSIS

Is India the Next China? An Energy-Related Comparison

By: Jane Nakano, Senior Fellow, Energy and National Security Program, CSIS and Michelle Melton, Associate Fellow, Energy and National Security Program, CSIS

Renewed Solar Subsidies – A Missed Opportunity

By: Francis O’Sullivan, Director of Research and Analysis, MIT Energy Initiative; Senior Associate, Energy and National Security Program, CSIS

CSIS: NEW PERSPECTIVES IN FOREIGN POLICY | VOLUME 9

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THE EDITORIAL BOARD OF NEW PERSPECTIVES IN FOREIGN POLICY IS PLEASED TO PRESENT:

NEW PERSPECTIVES IN FOREIGN POLICY | VOLUME 9

Included in this issue:
 
  • Hayley Elszasz, “Marikana and ANC Regeneration: The Final Straw?”
  • Caroline Rohloff, “Cracks in the Ice: Russia’s Strategic Posturing in the Arctic”
  • Renzo Falla, “Violence, Corruption, and Impunity in Central America’s Northern Triangle”
  • James Mina, “Europe’s Fading Legacy in the Western Balkans”
  • Andrew Chapman, “Japan’s Proactive Pacifism in Action: Supporting International Law and Stability in the South China Sea”

New Perspectives, the CSIS journal for young professionals, seeks to bring new voices into the foreign policy conversation. The journal does not endorse specific opinions or policies. The views expressed herein are solely those of the authors and contributors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Editorial Board, CSIS, or the CSIS Board of Trustees.

The editorial board welcomes your feedback. Please send any questions or comments tonewperspectives@csis.org.

      
Copyright © 2016 Center for Strategic & International Studies, All rights reserved.
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CSIS: Asia Maritime Transparency Initiatie, Dec. 18, 2015 brief

A Case of Rocks or Islands?

This issue of AMTI explores the ongoing case between China and the Philippines at the arbitral tribunal at the Permanent Court of Arbitration in The Hague. The Philippines argued the merits of its case against China’s claims in the South China Sea before an arbitral tribunal at the Permanent Court of Arbitration in The Hague from November 24 to 30. As it has since the case was filed in early 2013, China refused to recognize or take part in the proceedings. Tiếp tục đọc “CSIS: Asia Maritime Transparency Initiatie, Dec. 18, 2015 brief”

The Power of Smallholder Land Rights to Combat Climate Change

CSIS

Photo courtesy of Groman123 from https://www.flickr.com/photos/pkirtz/21038826799/
Dec 16, 2015

Last weekend the world rejoiced over the historic, long-awaited climate-change agreement reached at the Paris Climate Conference (COP21). While the cooperation of 190 countries around a singular issue, especially one as pressing as climate change, should be applauded, the COP21 pact is missing something major: the role of agriculture.

This year is on target to be the hottest in recorded history. Just in the past few months, we have watched El Nino, which is likely to be one of the strongest on record, create unpredictable and chaotic weather patterns, taking a tremendous toll on harvests and pushing millions into extreme poverty and emergency levels of food insecurity. Ethiopia is experiencing its worst drought in decades, with predictions of at least 15 million people requiring emergency food assistance by early 2016. As climate change continues to threaten global stability, it pressures the international community to enact creative solutions. One solution that hasn’t received enough attention is increasing land rights for smallholder farmers, particularly for women in the developing world. Tiếp tục đọc “The Power of Smallholder Land Rights to Combat Climate Change”