Thailand, the sick man of Southeast Asia?

eastasiaforum.org Published: 22 December 2025

In Brief

Thailand is confronting a convergence of economic and political pressures that threaten to lock in prolonged stagnation caused by weak growth, demographic decline and low productivity. Decades of political instability, repeated intervention by unelected ‘tutelary’ powers and the blocking of reformist forces have undermined policy continuity, discouraged investment and diverted spending away from long-term growth drivers like education and public investment. Renewed border tensions with Cambodia and looming elections now compound these structural weaknesses, leaving Thailand trapped in a cycle of political uncertainty and economic underperformance that erodes its regional standing.

With growth barely above 2 per cent, a looming demographic crisis and an immigration regime unsuited to offsetting future workforce challenges, Thailand is in urgent need of pro-growth, pro-productivity reforms and public investment despite its strained public finances. These challenges are par for the course in any rich post-industrial country — but for a middle-income country in today’s international environment, they’re all the more daunting.

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Khởi động hạ tầng an toàn cho chương trình điện hạt nhân quốc gia – Vai trò của Chính phủ ở Giai đoạn 1

Nangluongvietnam.vn 04/02/2026

 – Trong kỳ trước, Tạp chí Năng lượng Việt Nam đã có bài viết đề xuất việc rà soát toàn diện các yêu cầu của IAEA về phát triển nguồn nhân lực trong mối quan hệ chặt chẽ, mang tính tương hỗ với 18 vấn đề hạ tầng then chốt của chương trình điện hạt nhân quốc gia. Tiếp nối định hướng này, bài viết dưới đây tập trung phân tích vai trò và trách nhiệm của Chính phủ ở Giai đoạn 1 của chương trình điện hạt nhân, với trọng tâm là khởi động hạ tầng an toàn. Cách tiếp cận này phù hợp với khuyến nghị của IAEA. Theo đó, an toàn hạt nhân không phải là một lĩnh vực độc lập, mà là kết quả tổng hợp của chính sách, khuôn khổ pháp lý – thể chế, năng lực con người, trong đó vai trò định hướng và bảo đảm của Chính phủ ở Giai đoạn 1 có ý nghĩa quyết định.

Phát triển nguồn nhân lực điện hạt nhân theo các mốc thời gian của IAEA – Yêu cầu tại Mốc 2 đối với Việt Nam

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Nuclear Deterrence in the 21st Century

chatthamhouse.org Research paper Published 20 April 2020 ISBN: 978 1 78413 391 7

Royal Navy Vanguard Class submarine HMS Vigilant returning to HMNB Clyde after extended deployment. The four Vanguard-class submarines form the UK's strategic nuclear deterrent force. Photo: Ministry of Defence.

Royal Navy Vanguard Class submarine HMS Vigilant returning to HMNB Clyde after extended deployment. The four Vanguard-class submarines form the UK’s strategic nuclear deterrent force. Photo: Ministry of Defence.21st century. Researchers at Chatham House have worked with eight experts to produce this collection of essays examining four contested themes in contemporary policymaking on deterrence.

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Nuclear deterrence is dying. And hardly anyone notices

Thebulletin.org By Alex Kolbin | January 30, 2026

A man in a dark coat stands outdoors holding a black umbrella, illuminated by a red light in the background at night.President Donald Trump speaks to the media before boarding Marine One on January 9, 2026. The day before, the President told New York Times reporters, “If it expires, it expires,” referring to New START—the last remaining bilateral nuclear arms control treaty between Washington and Moscow, which expires on February 5. (Photo: White House/Molly Riley)

For decades, nuclear weapons have been treated as the ultimate arbiter of international politics. They were supposed to deter great-power war, impose caution on leaders, and anchor what strategists liked to call strategic stability. Today, that framework is eroding in plain sight. Yet the reaction from policymakers and much of the expert community remains oddly muted.

Put simply, nuclear weapons are no longer functioning as a decisive factor in global security.

For almost four years, Russia—the world’s largest nuclear power—has been subjected to missile strikes carried out with systems supplied by several other nuclear-armed states. The United Kingdom now openly speaks of developing new tactical ballistic missiles for Kyiv and of placing “leading-edge weapons” directly into the hands of Ukrainians. Russia itself employs nuclear-capable intermediate-range ballistic Oreshnik missiles as if they were any other conventional weapon system for punishing Ukrainian infrastructure. Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump casually commented on New START—the last remaining bilateral nuclear arms control treaty between Washington and Moscow, which expires on February 5—“If it expires, it expires.” And former Russian President Dmitry Medvedev, currently serving as a Deputy Chief of the Russian Security Council, stated, “No START-4 is better than a treaty that only masks mutual distrust and provokes an arms race in other countries,” referring to what may come next after New START expires.

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International Atomic Energy Agency reviews Viet Nam’s nuclear power infrastructure development

IAEA.org 12 December 2025 Ninh Thuan Province, Viet Nam

Viet Nam has taken important actions towards adding nuclear power to its energy mix, including in developing the necessary infrastructure for a safe and sustainable nuclear power programme, according to an International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) review mission.

An IAEA team of experts yesterday concluded an 11-day mission to Viet Nam to review its infrastructure development for the Ninh Thuan Nuclear Power Project, which had been stopped in 2016. In 2024, the Central Committee of the Communist Party of Viet Nam decided to restart the project and the National Assembly of Viet Nam authorized the Government to allocate the necessary resources for its implementation.

The establishment of nuclear power is an objective of the Revised National Power Development Plan for the period 2021-2030, which considers nuclear power as key for diversifying the national energy mix and strengthening energy security amidst Viet Nam’s steadily rising energy demand and economic growth in recent years.  The plan envisages the commissioning of two nuclear power plants, Ninh Thuan 1 and Ninh Thuan 2, during the 2030–2035 period, with a total capacity of 4,000–6,400 MW.

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Global Energy Transition Investment Reached Record $2.3 Trillion in 2025, Up 8% from 2024

KEY TAKEAWAYS

Global Giants Are Investing in Clean Tech Despite Politics 

IEEE.org

Exterior of a Walmart store with an American flag blowing in the wind, and a shopper with a cart walking out.

Walmart, the biggest single buyer of goods in the world, has lowered its emissions intensity and sent emissions-reducing ripples throughout its global supply chain. Joe Raedle/Getty Images

The Trump administration has given corporations plenty of convenient excuses to retreat from their climate commitments, with its moves to withdraw from the Paris Agreement, roll back emissions regulations, and scale back clean-energy incentives.

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China unveils ‘world’s first’ autonomous drone that can hunt submarines: is it all hype?

The Wing Loong X debuts as China’s first long-endurance UAV designed for independent ASW missions.

IE.com Nov 22, 2025 06:14 AM EST

Wing Loong II
Image of a Wing Loong II at the Dubai Air Show, circa 2017.Mztourist/Wikimedia Commons

China has officially unveiled its latest large autonomous drone, the Wing Loong X, at the Dubai Airshow 2025. Ostensibly the same as its predecessor, Wing Loong drone siblings, this new drone is reportedly the first unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) in the world capable of fully independent anti-submarine warfare (ASW).

If true, this is a big deal, as anti-submarine missions are widely considered the most difficult of all maritime military aviation operations. The new drone is huge, with a reported wingspan of well over 65.6 feet, or 20 meters (that’s roughly the same size as a small business jet).

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China’s “artificial sun” just broke a fusion limit scientists thought was unbreakable

Sciencedaily.com Date:January 4, 2026

Source:Chinese Academy of Sciences Headquarters

Summary: Researchers using China’s “artificial sun” fusion reactor have broken through a long-standing density barrier in fusion plasma. The experiment confirmed that plasma can remain stable even at extreme densities if its interaction with the reactor walls is carefully controlled. This finding removes a major obstacle that has slowed progress toward fusion ignition. The advance could help future fusion reactors produce more power


Fusion Breakthrough Shatters Density Limits
China’s “artificial sun” fusion reactor has crossed a critical plasma density threshold that scientists once thought was unreachable. The result brings fusion ignition closer than ever. Credit: Shutterstock

Scientists working with China’s fully superconducting Experimental Advanced Superconducting Tokamak (EAST) have successfully reached a long-theorized “density-free regime” in fusion plasma experiments. In this state, the plasma remains stable even when its density rises far beyond traditional limits. The results, published in Science Advances on January 1, shed new light on how one of fusion energy’s most stubborn physical barriers might finally be overcome on the road to ignition.

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Great Green Walls: Hype, Myth, and Science

Annual Review of Environment and Resources Volume 48, 2023

ABSTRACT

Visions of planting walls of trees to block the expansion of the desert have long been promoted but never realized. The green wall myth persists today even though it is premised on outdated understandings of desertification. We review the history of the idea of green walls and focus on two sets of contemporary initiatives to assess their outcomes: peri-Saharan programs (Algeria’s Green Dam and Great Green Wall in sub-Saharan Africa) and China’s Three Norths Shelterbelt Program. This review reveals a mixed record of technical success with low rates of the establishment of monocultures of fast-growing trees vulnerable to disease. While there is evidence for reduced wind erosion in some areas, afforestation is also associated with reduced soil moisture and lowering of water tables. Social impacts include increased water scarcity for people and livestock in some cases, and resource enclosures that particularly work against pastoralist livelihoods.

1.  INTRODUCTION

Green walls refer to continuous bands of planted trees stretching across single or multiple countries in dryland regions. As socioecological projects, green walls invoke powerfully attractive images of maintaining life over the assumed sterility of the desert through human ingenuity and effort. A wall of planted trees is envisioned to hold back an expansionary desert from degrading the productivity of the lands behind the wall. Despite the persistent discursive power of this image, its scientific foundation rests on now discredited understandings of desertification. 1 Desertification, scientifically understood as land degradation due to human mismanagement, is less a regional phenomenon across a broad front than a highly localized phenomenon in areas of greater and more persistent human pressures. The power of the green wall vision is illustrated by its persistent use in promotions of a diverse array of dryland afforestation initiatives with different afforestation patterns (e.g., shelterbelts, scattered woodlots and larger afforested blocks, and agroforestry) and goals (ecological rehabilitation, carbon sequestration, and improved climate resilience). In short, green wall rhetoric mobilizes support and empowers certain actors rather than describing actual dryland afforestation practices. 2 This article focuses on the vision, practices, and effects of these programs.

This review was written during a period of global enthusiasm for trees and mobilization for mass afforestation, with the World Economic Forum’s Trillion Trees initiative the most prominent example ( https://www.1t.org/ ) but also a wide range of other afforestation efforts across the globe (3). While the arborocentrism of this moment has a long history (see below), concerns about climate change and an interest in increasing the sequestration of industrial carbon has led to a rapid rise of tree planting initiatives. The world’s drylands could be seen as “empty” and thus important “untapped” landscapes to store carbon. Through a consideration of the empirical record of green wall programs, this article outlines reasons to be cautious. Trees are often not suited for the arid zones where they are planted and, even if they are established, may have negative ecological and social impacts (4). By ignoring the need for ecological and social monitoring of afforestation impacts, green wall enthusiasm has often worked to hide the mixed record of these initiatives.

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How Greenland’s Rare Earth Reserves Compare to the Rest of the World

 visualcapitalist January 19, 2026

How Greenland’s rare earth reserves compare globally and why its untapped minerals are drawing Trump’s attention.

Key Takeaways

China dominates global rare earth mining, but undeveloped reserves elsewhere could reshape future supply chains.

Greenland holds an estimated 1.5 million metric tons of rare earth reserves despite having no commercial production.

U.S. President Donald Trump has once again put Greenland at the center of global attention.

His renewed threat to assert U.S. control over the Arctic territory has drawn sharp reactions from European leaders and Denmark, which governs Greenland as an autonomous territory.

While the island’s strategic location is often cited, another underlying motivation is increasingly tied to its vast mineral potential. In particular, Greenland’s rare earth reserves have become a focal point in a world racing to secure critical resources.

This visualization compares rare earth mine production and reserves across countries, placing Greenland’s untapped resources in a global context. 

The data for this visualization comes from the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), as of 2024.

China’s Grip on Rare Earth Supply

China remains the backbone of the global rare earth market. In 2024, it produced roughly 270,000 metric tons, accounting for well over half of global output.

China also controls the largest reserves, estimated at 44 million metric tons. This combination of scale and integration gives Beijing significant leverage over industries ranging from electric vehicles to defense systems.

CountryReserves (Metric Tons)Rare Earth Production 2024 (Metric Tons)
🇨🇳 China44.0M270,000
🇧🇷 Brazil21.0M20
🇮🇳 India6.9M2,900
🇦🇺 Australia5.7M13,000
🇷🇺 Russia3.8M2,500
🇻🇳 Vietnam3.5M300
🇺🇸 United States1.9M45,000
🇬🇱 Greenland1.5M0
🇹🇿 Tanzania890K0
🇿🇦 South Africa860K0
🇨🇦 Canada830K0
🇹🇭 Thailand4.5K13,000
🇲🇲 Myanmar031,000
🇲🇬 Madagascar02,000
🇲🇾 Malaysia0130
🇳🇬 Nigeria013,000
🌍 Other01,100
🌐 World total (rounded)>90,000,000390,000

Large Reserves, Limited Production Elsewhere

Outside China, many countries with sizable reserves play only a minor role in production.

Brazil holds an estimated 21 million metric tons of rare earth reserves yet produces almost nothing today. India, Russia, and Vietnam show similar patterns.

Why Greenland Matters

Greenland’s estimated 1.5 million metric tons of rare earth reserves exceed those of countries like Canada and South Africa. Yet the island has never had commercial rare earth production.

Environmental protections, infrastructure constraints, and local political opposition have slowed development. Still, as supply chain security becomes a priority for major economies, Greenland’s position is becoming harder to ignore.

Trump’s interest in Greenland is driven by more than symbolism. Rare earths are essential for advanced manufacturing, clean energy technologies, and military hardware. With China firmly entrenched as the dominant supplier, policymakers in Washington are increasingly focused on alternative sources.

Aviation demand forecasting in an era of demand uncertainty and optimism bias

sciencdirect.com Daniel Y. Suh a Megan S. Ryerson a b

Highlights

  • •Errors in airport demand forecasts stem from economic uncertainty and optimism.
  • •Forecasting can be improved by focusing on both macroscopic and microscopic levels.
  • •Models can predict the probability of passenger contraction.
  • •Reference class forecasts improve accuracy by incorporating past forecast errors of peers.

Abstract

Errors in forecasting airport passenger demand arise from uncertain economic climates and planners’ optimism, leading airport planners to make misinformed infrastructure investments. We use publicly available data to develop and test methodologies that enable airport planners to (1) predict the probability of a severe contraction in passenger volumes and (2) improve forecast accuracy by systematically incorporating past forecast errors of airport peers thus “grounding” optimistic forecasts. By incorporating past forecast errors from like airports into airport forecasting models, we build a methodology that is grounded in established demand forecasting practices and is able to significantly improve the accuracy of aviation demand forecasting models.

Read section’s summary https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S1366554518314947#preview-section-snippets

Vì sao chuyến bay nội địa ngày càng hay bị trễ?

BBWV – Chỉ 63,6% chuyến bay tại Việt Nam cất cánh đúng giờ trong tháng 7.2025, với hơn 9.400 chuyến bị chậm. Đồ thị tuần này phản ánh áp lực ngày càng rõ lên đội bay và năng lực vận hành của toàn ngành hàng không.

Tác giả: Giang Lê – Minh họa: Hoàng Minh 16 tháng 01, 2026

Nếu bạn từng ngồi chờ ở cửa ra máy bay và thấy chữ “on time” chuyển thành “delayed”, có lẽ bạn cũng cảm nhận được một điều: Bay đúng giờ ở Việt Nam đang trở nên khó hơn trước. Đồ thị tuần này cho thấy đó không chỉ là trải nghiệm cá nhân, mà là một xu hướng rõ ràng của toàn thị trường.https://flo.uri.sh/visualisation/27087407/embed

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How (In)accurate Are Demand Forecasts in Public Works Projects? The Case of Transportation

Bent FlyvbjergMette Skamris HolmSøren L. Buhl 20 Mar 2013

This article presents results from the first statistically significant study of traffic forecasts in transportation infrastructure projects. The sample used is the largest of its kind, covering 210 projects in 14 nations worth US$59 billion. The study shows with very high statistical significance that forecasters generally do a poor job of estimating the demand for transportation infrastructure projects. The result is substantial downside financial and economic risks. Such risks are typically ignored or downplayed by planners and decision makers, to the detriment of social and economic welfare. For nine out of ten rail projects passenger forecasts are overestimated; average overestimation is 106 percent. This results in large benefit shortfalls for rail projects. For half of all road projects the difference between actual and forecasted traffic is more than plus/minus 20 percent. Forecasts have not become more accurate over the 30-year period studied. If techniques and skills for arriving at accurate demand forecasts have improved over time, as often claimed by forecasters, this does not show in the data. The causes of inaccuracy in forecasts are different for rail and road projects, with political causes playing a larger role for rail than for road. The cure is transparency, accountability, and new forecasting methods. The challenge is to change the governance structures for forecasting and project development. The article shows how planners may help achieve this.

Full text https://arxiv.org/pdf/1303.6654

LNG 101 – What is liquified natural gas and what is its impact on emissions, health, and economics?

RMI.org By Carmela ChaneyDeborah GordonColm Quinn

As the name suggests, liquefied natural gas (LNG) involves turning gas into liquid form — a process known as liquefaction. Liquefaction does not alter the chemical makeup of gas, which is comprised of mostly methane plus varying amounts of different impurities, but it does make it denser. This enables ships and other carriers to move more gas over oceans between locations that lack direct pipeline connectivity.

What comprises the LNG supply chain?

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