Australia’s Strategic Priorities and Challenges with Southeast Asia

lowyinstitute.org By Susannah Patton 6 November 2025

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Introduction

Going into the 2022 election, improving relations with Southeast Asia was at the top of the foreign policy to-do list for the Australian Labor Party, led by now prime minister Anthony Albanese. While the outgoing Liberal-National coalition government had notched up some achievements in its engagement with the region, there was also a sense of drift. The Pacific Step Up policy had focused on boosting ties with one of Australia’s two near regions, but Southeast Asia had not received the same level of diplomatic focus. Among the Labor Party’s pledges were appointing a special envoy for Southeast Asia, providing A$470 million in new aid to the region, and creating an office for Southeast Asia within the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade. [1] For the most part, the Albanese government has followed through on its commitment to strengthen ties with Southeast Asia through more active diplomatic outreach, an economic strategy to boost two-way trade and investment, and a more nuanced approach to managing sensitive issues in Australia’s relations with the region, especially China-related issues and Middle East policy.

During the new term of government beginning in 2025, it is likely that the Albanese government will maintain Southeast Asia, along with the Pacific Islands, as a region of high priority. Albanese’s July 2025 John Curtin Oration articulated what he called Labor’s “constructive and creative role” and gave high billing to efforts to intensify economic engagement with Southeast Asia and deepen security cooperation with Indonesia. [2] While other global relationships may fluctuate according to events, the central importance of Southeast Asia within this distinctively Labor worldview suggests that engagement with this region, especially Indonesia, will remain high on Australia’s agenda for the next three years.

This essay analyzes the achievements of the Albanese government in its relations with Southeast Asia. It also assesses the continued challenges Australia faces both in deepening economic relations with the region and in continuing to balance regional ties with the U.S. alliance, especially given a less predictable and more demanding administration in Washington.

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Vietnam’s push for ‘chip-to-ship’ conglomerates raises red flags

Reuters.com November 5, 20252:32 PM GMT+7

[1/3]A logo on a Vinfast electric car and Vietnam’s national flag sticker at the ’80 Years Journey of Independence – Freedom – Happiness’ expo ahead of the country’s Independence Day celebration, at the National Exhibition Center in Hanoi, Vietnam, August 31, 2025. REUTERS/Athit Perawongmetha/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights, opens new tab

  • Summary
  • Hanoi backs national champions with ‘preferential’ policies
  • Vingroup encouraged to bid for $70 billion railway, sources say
  • Central bank, finance ministry, Fitch flag financial risks
  • Investors remain cautious, fear favouritism

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Government Debt to GDP by Country in 2025

visualcapitalist

By Niccolo Conte Graphics/Design: Sabrina Lam

Global map of government debt in 2025 by country

Key Takeaways

  • The global debt-to-GDP ratio rose 2.3 percentage points to 94.7% in 2025, but is still below the pandemic-era peak of 98.7% in 2020.
  • Japan remains the world’s most indebted nation at 230% of GDP, followed by Sudan (222%) and Singapore (176%).

Global debt levels continue to rise, with 2025 marking another year of fiscal strain across both advanced and developing economies.

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China’s shipyard dominance leads to geoeconomic risks

japantimes.co.jp 2025.07.02

China’s unparalleled shipbuilding capacity has the U.S., Japan and its allies — both military and economic — rightly concerned about maritime threats to trade and security.
Without a concerted effort and international cooperation to challenge Beijing’s commanding lead in the global shipbuilding industry, those threats will materialize furthering China’s alarming dominance.

According to 2024 data from the Chinese government, the country ranks first worldwide in ship completions, new orders and order backlogs — claiming global shares of 55.7%, 74.1% and 63.1%, respectively. China is also expanding its capabilities in high value-added vessels, surpassing South Korea and Japan, while consolidating its role as a “shipbuilding superpower.”

Shipbuilding is not merely an economic activity — it underpins both global trade and national defense. Civilian shipbuilding provides the foundation for training engineers and skilled workers essential to naval production. As such, the growth of China’s shipbuilding sector carries profound implications, not only for maritime commerce but also for the international security architecture.

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Why China is finally starting to acknowledge its overcapacity problem

channelnewsasia.com

Where Beijing once celebrated its manufacturing and export prowess, it now openly discusses the need to curb “involution”. This is a dramatic departure from its previous stance, says Enodo Economics’ Diana Choyleva.

Commentary: Why China is finally starting to acknowledge its overcapacity problem
People browse in electric car showrooms located on the 5th floor in a popular shopping mall in Beijing on Jul 21, 2025. (Photo: CNA/Hu Chushi)

LONDON: For years, Beijing dismissed Western concerns about Chinese overcapacity as protectionist rhetoric. When the United States and European Union complained about cheap Chinese exports flooding global markets, China’s response was predictable: These were simply competitive advantages in a free market economy.

That narrative has now fundamentally shifted. In a remarkable policy U-turn, China has not only started acknowledging the overcapacity problem but is treating it as a national priority that requires urgent intervention.

While there have been signs of this narrative change for a while, the clearest signal of this messaging transformation came through recently on China’s own policy channels.

In July, the Communist Party’s leading journal Qiushi warned that “disorderly competition has destroyed entire industry ecology”. This wasn’t diplomatic language about market dynamics – it was an admission that destructive competition had reached crisis proportions.

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Ranked: Emerging Markets by FDI Confidence

 visualcapitalist.com June 30, 2025

This infographic ranks the top 25 emerging markets by their FDI confidence in 2025, based on a survey of global business leaders.

Key Takeaways

  • China, the UAE, and Saudi Arabia are the top three emerging markets by FDI confidence in 2025
  • Brazil overtook India to take the fourth spot, with both countries making the top five
  • Domestic economic performance and efficiency of legal and regulatory processes were the top two priorities for FDI investors

Emerging markets often attract foreign investors with prospects for higher economic growth and diversification.

Where are global business leaders placing their foreign direct investment (FDI) bets in 2025?

This chart highlights the top 25 emerging markets by FDI confidence score in 2025, based on a survey conducted by Kearney. The rankings are drawn from responses by 536 senior executives at global companies with annual revenues above $500 million.

China Leads in Foreign Investor Sentiment

China (including Hong Kong) remains the top emerging market for foreign investor confidence in 2025. However, FDI inflows have slowed in recent years, hitting multi-year lows in 2023.

Following China, the UAE and Saudi Arabia also retain their places as the second and third-most favored developing economies for FDI.

Here’s a look at the full list of top emerging markets for FDI confidence in 2025:Search:

RankCountryFDI Confidence Score
1China (including Hong Kong) 🇨🇳🇭🇰1.97
2United Arab Emirates 🇦🇪1.86
3Saudi Arabia 🇸🇦1.76
4Brazil 🇧🇷1.59
5India 🇮🇳1.53
6Mexico 🇲🇽1.51
7South Africa 🇿🇦1.48
8Poland 🇵🇱1.46
9Argentina 🇦🇷1.46
10Thailand 🇹🇭1.45

Brazil and India—two of the biggest emerging economies by GDP—round out the top five, with Brazil overtaking India in FDI confidence in the 2025 rankings.

These rankings align with investors’ FDI priorities from the same survey, where the efficiency of legal and regulatory processes and domestic economic performance top the list.

South Africa made the largest upward move in 2025, jumping from 11th to 7th in the rankings. It also recorded FDI inflows of around $661 million in Q1 2025, up 56% from the fourth quarter of 2024.

Overall, 11 of the top 25 emerging markets for FDI confidence are in Asia and the Middle East.

What’s Driving Investor Confidence?

The factors driving FDI confidence vary for each economy.

In China, tech innovation was the leading driver of investor confidence, while economic performance ranked highest for the UAE and Saudi Arabia.

Meanwhile, the talent/skill of the labor pools in India and Mexico were the strongest factors attracting investors.