CSIS AMTI Brief – August 13, 2015

AMTI Brief – August 13, 2015

CSIS
Remembering World War II in Maritime Asia
On August 15, 2015, the world observes the 70th anniversary of the end of the Second World War in the Pacific Theater. This edition of AMTI commemorates the conclusion of the conflict and its legacy for maritime Asia. Read special features on the strategic role that maritime Asia played for the victorious allies, including the United States, European powers, and the Soviet Union, as the war ended. Below, view 15 maps that help to explain why the Pacific Theater looked the way it did in August 1945, and why the conclusion of the conflict continues to shape geopolitics in East Asia today. [Read On]
 

Expert Analysis

August 1945: A Snapshot of American Maritime Strategy in the Pacific
When Japan surrendered 70 years ago this month, the United States stood supreme in the Pacific.  Only the Royal Navy and Royal Australian Navy had surface combatants that could roam freely from the Indian Ocean to the East China Sea and these remained a fraction of the massive “Big Blue Fleet” the U.S. Navy had deployed.  With the exception of Taiwan, parts of the Dutch East Indies, the Japanese archipelago and a smattering of isolated South Pacific atolls, the entire offshore island chain in the Western Pacific was under the control of the United States and its allies. [Read more from Michael Green] 
 


Calm and Storm: the South China Sea after the Second World War
In the early hours of 4 February 1945 two Australian commandos, Alex Chew and Bill Jinkins, paddled away from an American submarine, the USS Pargo, and landed on Woody Island in the Paracels. In the weeks beforehand, American airmen had reported seeing a French tricolour flying on the island and ‘Z Force’ had been tasked to investigate. Chew and Jinkins discovered there were indeed French people on the island but also Japanese sailors and so retreated to the sub. The Pargo surfaced and shelled the buildings for several minutes. The first ‘Battle of the Paracels’ was a one-sided affair. [Read more from Bill Hayton]


The Legacy of the Soviet Offensives of August 1945
The Second World War was an unparalleled calamity for the Soviet Union. As many as 27 million Soviet soldiers and civilians died as a result of the conflict that started with the German invasion of Poland in September 1939 and ended with the Japanese surrender in August 1945. Consumed by this existential struggle along its western border, the Soviet Union was a comparatively minor factor in the Pacific War until the very end. Yet Moscow’s timely intervention in the war against Japan allowed it to expand its influence along the Pacific Rim. With the breakdown of Allied unity soon heralding the onset of the Cold War, Soviet gains in Asia also left a legacy of division and confrontation, some of which endure into the present. [Read more from Jeff Mankoff]

Featured Maps

Japanese Centrifugal Offensive, December 1941
In December 1941, Japan’s Centrifugal Offensive was launched to gain control of the Western colonies in Southeast Asia and create a defensive perimeter to protect against an Allied offensive. It succeeded in capturing most U.S., British, and Dutch held territory. By the end of February 1942, Tokyo had secured all Western colonial possessions with the exception of part of New Guinea and Macau.

 

Estimated Japanese Strength on or about August 15, 1945
As fighting concluded in the Pacific Theater, an estimated 4.9 million Japanese soldiers remained stationed throughout the Pacific Islands and Asia.

 

Areas Under Allied and Japanese Control, August 15, 1945
At the conclusion of the war, Japan was still extended throughout the Pacific as Allied offensives continued to chip away at its holdings.

 

Territorial Clauses of the Japanese Peace Treaty

Attached to the San Francisco Peace Treaty of 1951, this map illustrates the territory Japan relinquished in the postwar settlement. Chapter II, Articles 2 and 3 of the Treaty are included in small print indicating the treaty’s territorial clauses with relevant island groups marked as shown. These include the Kuril Islands/Northern Territories, the Ryukyu Islands (including the Senkakus), and the Spratly and Paracel Islands.


 

CSIS Southeast Asia SIT-REP, Aug 13, 2015

CSIS Southeast Asia SIT-REP

The SIT-REP gives you links to all of CSIS Southeast Asia’s (@SoutheastAsiaDC) best updates and programs in a five minute read. This issue includes recommendations for U.S. policymakers to grapple with the South China Sea, a series of blog posts on Myanmar’s roiling politics, a profile of one of Malaysia foremost moderate Islamic leaders, and much more. Links will take you to the full publications, multimedia, or to registration for upcoming programs when available. To jump to a section, select one of the following: Tiếp tục đọc “CSIS Southeast Asia SIT-REP, Aug 13, 2015”

Patrolling international skies: Understanding joint air patrols

In examining recent suggestions for joint patrolling of the South China Sea, analysts have tended to focus on the surface vessels of various nations’ coast guards and navies. Yet the flight of a U.S. Navy P-8A Poseidon hosting a CNN film crew over disputed waters in the South China Sea in May highlighted the potential of air power – specifically maritime patrol aircraft (MPA) – in executing the possible missions of joint patrols. To explore the potential effectiveness of South China Sea joint air patrols it is important to first be clear about the often overlooked distinctions in missions, locations, and concepts. Tiếp tục đọc “Patrolling international skies: Understanding joint air patrols”

Airpower in the South China Sea

AMTI – China is not the first, but the fifth claimant to build an airstrip in the Spratly Islands. Are all airstrips created equal? What kinds of operations does each enable? AMTI explores the role of airstrips and airpower in the South China Sea.

AIRPOWER PROJECTION

Much attention has been paid to China’s new airstrip on Fiery Cross Reef. How does this runway compare to Malaysia’s on Swallow Reef, the Philippines’ on Thitu Island, Taiwan’s on Itu Aba, or Vietnam’s on Spratly Island? Below, explore infographics on each claimant’s airstrip size and the aerial operating range each enables. Watch an exclusive interview on China’s Fiery Cross runway with RAND Senior International Defense Analyst Timothy R. Heath. View satellite images of each Spratly airstrip and read more about the types of operations that each may enable.

Ali Demo Airstrip Tiếp tục đọc “Airpower in the South China Sea”

CSIS: AMTI Brief – July 30, 2015

Tiếp tục đọc “CSIS: AMTI Brief – July 30, 2015”


Airpower in the South China Sea
China is not the first, but the fifth claimant to build an airstrip in the Spratly Islands. Are all airstrips created equal? What kinds of operations does each enable? This issue of AMTI explores the role of airstrips and airpower in the South China Sea.

Much attention has been paid to China’s new airstrip on Fiery Cross Reef. How does this runway compare to Malaysia’s on Swallow Reef, the Philippines’ on Thitu Island, Taiwan’s on Itu Aba, or Vietnam’s on Spratly Island? In this issue, explore infographics on each claimant’s airstrip size and the aerial operating range each enables. Watch an exclusive interview on China’s Fiery Cross runway with RAND Senior International Defense Analyst Timothy R. Heath. View satellite images of each Spratly airstrip and read more about the types of operations that each may enable. Read On…

CSIS: AMTI Brief – July 15, 2015


The Battle of The Hague: Philippines v. China in the South China Sea

The Philippines’ lawfare (legal warfare) against China has reached a critical juncture. More than two years after initiating compulsory arbitration against China, the Southeast Asian country faces the crucial task of proving that the Arbitral Tribunal, formed under the aegis of the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS), has the mandate to exercise jurisdiction on the South China Sea disputes. Unless the Philippines manages to overcome the jurisdictional hurdle, which many legal experts consider  a formidable obstacle, it will not be able to meaningfully leverage international legal regimes to alter China’s calculus in the South China Sea. What is at stake, however, is not only the peaceful resolution of an increasingly intense maritime jostling in one of the world’s most important sea lines of communications (SLOCs), but also the very credibility of international legal instruments as the ultimate arbiter of interstate relations. [Read more from Richard Javad Heydarian]

Tiếp tục đọc “CSIS: AMTI Brief – July 15, 2015”

Philippine Navy and Japan’s Maritime Self Defense Forces in the South China Sea

July 1, 2015

Japan,Philippines, South China Sea

AMTI – For the first time since the Second World War, a Japanese naval reconnaissance plane landed on the western most Philippine island of Palawan to take part in a training exercise with the Philippine Navy (PN) from June 22 to June 26. On June 21, a Maritime Self-Defense Force (MDSF) P3-C Orion with 20 crew members from Kanoya Air Base in Kagoshima Prefecture arrived in the Philippines to take part in a training exercise that showed the increasing tempo of Philippine-Japan maritime security cooperation.  Tiếp tục đọc “Philippine Navy and Japan’s Maritime Self Defense Forces in the South China Sea”

Vietnam Party Chief’s Historic Visit to Washington: Establishing Strategic Trust

by  • July 3, 2015

By Ernest Z. Bower & Phuong Nguyen

General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam Nguyen Phu Trong meeting with Secretary of Defense Ashton Carter in Hanoi, Vietnam on June 1, 2015. Source: Secretary of Defense's flickr photostream, U.S. Government Work.

CSIS – The general-secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party Nguyen Phu Trong on July 7 will meet with President Barack Obama as the two leaders strive to establish strategic trust, the requisite foundation for the relationship to move to the next level. The visit is unprecedented in the history of U.S.-Vietnam relations. Unlike his Chinese counterpart, who is both communist party chief and president, Trong does not hold an official position within the government. Yet he is the highest-ranking political leader in the Vietnamese system. Tiếp tục đọc “Vietnam Party Chief’s Historic Visit to Washington: Establishing Strategic Trust”

A fair and effective Code of Conduct for the South China Sea

AMTI – In 2002, ASEAN and China signed the Declaration on the Conduct of Parties in the South China Sea (DOC) that promised to “enhance favourable conditions for a peaceful and durable solution of differences and disputes among countries concerned.” Unfortunately, thirteen years on, the claimant countries are no closer to a solution for any of the disputes, while coercive and other unilateral acts are steadily accumulating into serious tensions. What is needed now is a Code of Conduct (COC) that not only overcomes the DOC’s weaknesses but also addresses the new challenges that have arisen since 2002. Tiếp tục đọc “A fair and effective Code of Conduct for the South China Sea”

CSIS: AMTI Brief – July 2, 2015

AMTI Brief – July 2, 2015

Dredging up the Issues:

S&ED Analysis plus New Spratly Imagery
This week, AMTI has released exclusive new imagery of ongoing facility construction at Johnson South Reef and Fiery Cross Reef in the Spratly Islands. With the conclusion of the U.S.-China Strategic and Economic Dialogue last week, AMTI has also released a video interview with CSIS Senior Adviser Bonnie Glaser explaining the significance and the takeaways from this meeting. Finally, AMTI has released updated sizes for all China’s reclaimed features.

Read On…

 

Expert Analysis
Tiếp tục đọc “CSIS: AMTI Brief – July 2, 2015”

Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative – Brief June 23, 2015

Tiếp tục đọc “Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative – Brief June 23, 2015”


Ports & Power
This week, AMTI has released in-depth analysis on ports and agreements around the Indian Ocean. The Indian Ocean is poised to become a major variable in Asia-Pacific maritime affairs. How are major powers interacting within the Indian Ocean? View AMTI’s interactive map Ports & Power in the Indian Ocean—and visit the AMTI website for more information. Read on for expert analysis.