chatthamhouse.org Research paper Published 20 April 2020 ISBN: 978 1 78413 391 7

Royal Navy Vanguard Class submarine HMS Vigilant returning to HMNB Clyde after extended deployment. The four Vanguard-class submarines form the UK’s strategic nuclear deterrent force. Photo: Ministry of Defence.21st century. Researchers at Chatham House have worked with eight experts to produce this collection of essays examining four contested themes in contemporary policymaking on deterrence.
- Summary
- 1. Introduction
- Human Rationality and Nuclear Deterrence
- Nuclear Deterrence Destabilized
- Connecting the Dots: US Extended Nuclear Deterrence and Denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula
- Australia and Extended Nuclear Assurance
- The Risks Posed by Emerging Technologies to Nuclear Deterrence
- Deterrence Below the Threshold of Collective Defence: Is It Possible?
- ‘Blurring the Lines’: Nuclear and Conventional Deterrence
- The Problem of Blurring Conventional and Nuclear Deterrence
- 10. Editors’ Concluding Observations
- About the Authors
- About the Editors
- Acknowledgments
President Donald Trump speaks to the media before boarding Marine One on January 9, 2026. The day before, the President told New York Times reporters, “If it expires, it expires,” referring to New START—the last remaining bilateral nuclear arms control treaty between Washington and Moscow, which expires on February 5. (Photo: White House/Molly Riley)
Photojournalist Yoshito Matsushige, in front of the first image he took at Miyuki-bashi Bridge, a little over two hours after the United States dropped a nuclear bomb on Hiroshima. He took a total of 5 images, the only recorded evidence of that day that changed history. (Photo by John van Hasselt/Corbis via Getty Images)Share


Researchers wearing positive pressure personnel suits at a US National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases biosafety level 4 lab. Credit: National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases.
By 
